Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderates near 17 percent, leaving the contest for fourth place tightly bunched among the Centre Party, Greens, Left Party, and Christian Democrats, each hovering between roughly 6 and 8 percent. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with no major shifts in bloc support or individual party momentum reported in the past month. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among smaller voter segments and any late adjustments in coalition signals ahead of election day, as the four-way positioning has stayed stable amid steady but modest fluctuations in recent surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGreen Party (MP) 34%
Centre Party (C) 31%
Left Party (V) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 25%

Green Party (MP)
34%

Centre Party (C)
31%

Left Party (V)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
25%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%

Liberals (L)
4%

Moderate Party (M)
3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
2%
Green Party (MP) 34%
Centre Party (C) 31%
Left Party (V) 29%
Christian Democrats (KD) 25%

Green Party (MP)
34%

Centre Party (C)
31%

Left Party (V)
29%

Christian Democrats (KD)
25%

Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%

Liberals (L)
4%

Moderate Party (M)
3%

Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%

Citizens' Coalition (MED)
2%
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fourth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Sweden's September 2026 parliamentary election shows the Social Democrats leading at around 30-32 percent, followed by the Sweden Democrats near 20 percent and the Moderates near 17 percent, leaving the contest for fourth place tightly bunched among the Centre Party, Greens, Left Party, and Christian Democrats, each hovering between roughly 6 and 8 percent. Trader consensus reflects this narrow gap, with no major shifts in bloc support or individual party momentum reported in the past month. The outcome remains sensitive to turnout among smaller voter segments and any late adjustments in coalition signals ahead of election day, as the four-way positioning has stayed stable amid steady but modest fluctuations in recent surveys.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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