Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Social Democrats leading, followed by Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—Greens, Centre, Left, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—vying for fifth place in vote share. These mid-tier parties poll within a narrow 6-8% band, with minor shifts in recent surveys reflecting volatility in opposition and bloc-aligned support. The market's close pricing among the leading options for fifth captures this uncertainty, as no single party has established consistent separation. Key factors that could widen gaps include final-month campaign momentum on issues such as climate policy, economic conditions, or welfare, alongside turnout variations or late polling swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedGreen Party (MP) 38%
Left Party (V) 36%
Christian Democrats (KD) 36%
Centre Party (C) 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Green Party (MP)
38%
Left Party (V)
36%
Christian Democrats (KD)
36%
Centre Party (C)
30%
Moderate Party (M)
11%
Liberals (L)
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
6%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
2%
Green Party (MP) 38%
Left Party (V) 36%
Christian Democrats (KD) 36%
Centre Party (C) 30%
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Green Party (MP)
$0 Vol.
38%
Left Party (V)
$0 Vol.
36%
Christian Democrats (KD)
$0 Vol.
36%
Centre Party (C)
$0 Vol.
30%
Moderate Party (M)
$42 Vol.
11%
Liberals (L)
$0 Vol.
9%
Sweden Democrats (SD)
$72 Vol.
6%
Citizens' Coalition (MED)
$88 Vol.
5%
Swedish Social Democratic Party (S)
$81 Vol.
2%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Social Democrats leading, followed by Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—Greens, Centre, Left, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—vying for fifth place in vote share. These mid-tier parties poll within a narrow 6-8% band, with minor shifts in recent surveys reflecting volatility in opposition and bloc-aligned support. The market's close pricing among the leading options for fifth captures this uncertainty, as no single party has established consistent separation. Key factors that could widen gaps include final-month campaign momentum on issues such as climate policy, economic conditions, or welfare, alongside turnout variations or late polling swings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ET
Volume
$283End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Social Democrats leading, followed by Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—Greens, Centre, Left, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—vying for fifth place in vote share. These mid-tier parties poll within a narrow 6-8% band, with minor shifts in recent surveys reflecting volatility in opposition and bloc-aligned support. The market's close pricing among the leading options for fifth captures this uncertainty, as no single party has established consistent separation. Key factors that could widen gaps include final-month campaign momentum on issues such as climate policy, economic conditions, or welfare, alongside turnout variations or late polling swings.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the fifth-greatest number of seats in the Swedish Parliament (Riksdag) in this election.
If voting in the Swedish parliamentary election does not occur by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the fifth finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$283End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:05 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish polling ahead of the September 13 election shows Social Democrats leading, followed by Sweden Democrats and Moderates, leaving a tight cluster of smaller parties—Greens, Centre, Left, Christian Democrats, and Liberals—vying for fifth place in vote share. These mid-tier parties poll within a narrow 6-8% band, with minor shifts in recent surveys reflecting volatility in opposition and bloc-aligned support. The market's close pricing among the leading options for fifth captures this uncertainty, as no single party has established consistent separation. Key factors that could widen gaps include final-month campaign momentum on issues such as climate policy, economic conditions, or welfare, alongside turnout variations or late polling swings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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