Charlie Crist holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, St. Petersburg mayoral primary, driven by his extensive name recognition from prior service as Florida governor, U.S. representative, and statewide candidate, combined with recent polling showing him at 31–34% support against incumbent Ken Welch’s 11–17%. Crist’s political committee has deployed substantial late-cycle spending, while early voting has begun and the crowded nonpartisan field—including city councilor Brandi Gabbard, former fire chief Jim Large, and perennial candidates—remains fragmented with no other contender exceeding single digits. Welch’s incumbency and Democratic base provide a floor, yet personal allegations and lower polling have constrained his market price. The primary structure, which advances the top two candidates to a November runoff if no majority is reached, reinforces Crist’s position as the consensus frontrunner ahead of the imminent vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedSt. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
St. Petersburg Mayoral Election Winner
Charlie Crist 88%
Ken Welch 7.4%
Brandi Gabbard 1.7%
Jim Large 1.1%
$15,251 Vol.
$15,251 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Charlie Crist
88%
Ken Welch
7%
Brandi Gabbard
2%
Jim Large
1%
Paul Congemi
<1%
Maria Scruggs
<1%
Kevin Batdorf
<1%
Charlie Crist 88%
Ken Welch 7.4%
Brandi Gabbard 1.7%
Jim Large 1.1%
$15,251 Vol.
$15,251 Vol.
Aug 18, 2026
Charlie Crist
$11,620 Vol.
88%
Ken Welch
$1,747 Vol.
7%
Brandi Gabbard
$253 Vol.
2%
Jim Large
$469 Vol.
1%
Paul Congemi
$362 Vol.
<1%
Maria Scruggs
$313 Vol.
<1%
Kevin Batdorf
$487 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, St. Petersburg mayoral primary, driven by his extensive name recognition from prior service as Florida governor, U.S. representative, and statewide candidate, combined with recent polling showing him at 31–34% support against incumbent Ken Welch’s 11–17%. Crist’s political committee has deployed substantial late-cycle spending, while early voting has begun and the crowded nonpartisan field—including city councilor Brandi Gabbard, former fire chief Jim Large, and perennial candidates—remains fragmented with no other contender exceeding single digits. Welch’s incumbency and Democratic base provide a floor, yet personal allegations and lower polling have constrained his market price. The primary structure, which advances the top two candidates to a November runoff if no majority is reached, reinforces Crist’s position as the consensus frontrunner ahead of the imminent vote.
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Market Opened: Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ET
Volume
$15,251End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.Charlie Crist holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, St. Petersburg mayoral primary, driven by his extensive name recognition from prior service as Florida governor, U.S. representative, and statewide candidate, combined with recent polling showing him at 31–34% support against incumbent Ken Welch’s 11–17%. Crist’s political committee has deployed substantial late-cycle spending, while early voting has begun and the crowded nonpartisan field—including city councilor Brandi Gabbard, former fire chief Jim Large, and perennial candidates—remains fragmented with no other contender exceeding single digits. Welch’s incumbency and Democratic base provide a floor, yet personal allegations and lower polling have constrained his market price. The primary structure, which advances the top two candidates to a November runoff if no majority is reached, reinforces Crist’s position as the consensus frontrunner ahead of the imminent vote.
The 2026 St. Petersburg mayoral election will be held on August 18, 2026, to elect the mayor of St. Petersburg, Florida. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of St. Petersburg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by April 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the City of St. Petersburg or the State of Florida.
Volume
$15,251End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Jun 24, 2026, 6:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Charlie Crist holds a commanding lead in the August 18, 2026, St. Petersburg mayoral primary, driven by his extensive name recognition from prior service as Florida governor, U.S. representative, and statewide candidate, combined with recent polling showing him at 31–34% support against incumbent Ken Welch’s 11–17%. Crist’s political committee has deployed substantial late-cycle spending, while early voting has begun and the crowded nonpartisan field—including city councilor Brandi Gabbard, former fire chief Jim Large, and perennial candidates—remains fragmented with no other contender exceeding single digits. Welch’s incumbency and Democratic base provide a floor, yet personal allegations and lower polling have constrained his market price. The primary structure, which advances the top two candidates to a November runoff if no majority is reached, reinforces Crist’s position as the consensus frontrunner ahead of the imminent vote.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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