New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and governor races feature an open Democratic Senate seat and a Republican incumbent governor. Recent polls show Representative Chris Pappas leading likely Republican nominee John Sununu in a competitive general election matchup, while Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent lead over Democratic primary winner Cinde Warmington. These dynamics support trader consensus around a split result, with Republican strength in the governor’s race anchored by Ayotte’s incumbency and name recognition, contrasted by the Senate contest’s narrower margins and Democratic primary frontrunner positioning. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave limited time for further shifts before November general election voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 70%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps sweep 10%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
70%
Dems sweep
12%
Reps sweep
10%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
2%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 70%
Dems sweep 12%
Reps sweep 10%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 2.3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
70%
Dems sweep
12%
Reps sweep
10%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
2%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...New Hampshire’s 2026 Senate and governor races feature an open Democratic Senate seat and a Republican incumbent governor. Recent polls show Representative Chris Pappas leading likely Republican nominee John Sununu in a competitive general election matchup, while Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent lead over Democratic primary winner Cinde Warmington. These dynamics support trader consensus around a split result, with Republican strength in the governor’s race anchored by Ayotte’s incumbency and name recognition, contrasted by the Senate contest’s narrower margins and Democratic primary frontrunner positioning. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave limited time for further shifts before November general election voting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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