Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 28, 2026 municipal election amid a field of registered challengers including Don Woodstock, Joshua Pagdato, Johnny Calderon, and several others. His early May 2026 registration launch, combined with incumbency patterns that have historically favored sitting mayors in Winnipeg races, underpins trader consensus around his lead. Recent candidate registrations through August have expanded the ballot without shifting momentum, as Gillingham emphasizes his record on housing and infrastructure. The election timeline leaves limited runway for late developments to alter frontrunner dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedScott Gillingham 74%
Don Woodstock 6.2%
Johnny Calderon 3.4%
Joshua Pagdato 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 28, 2026
Scott Gillingham
74%
Don Woodstock
6%
Johnny Calderon
3%
Joshua Pagdato
10%
Umar Hayat
1%
Michael Vogiatzakis
1%
Christopher Clacio
1%
Zachary Uminski
<1%
Mazher Alam
<1%
Noah Redden
<1%
Scott Gillingham 74%
Don Woodstock 6.2%
Johnny Calderon 3.4%
Joshua Pagdato 3.0%
NEW
NEW
Oct 28, 2026
Scott Gillingham
$3,695 Vol.
74%
Don Woodstock
$180 Vol.
6%
Johnny Calderon
$140 Vol.
3%
Joshua Pagdato
$188 Vol.
10%
Umar Hayat
$142 Vol.
1%
Michael Vogiatzakis
$142 Vol.
1%
Christopher Clacio
$162 Vol.
1%
Zachary Uminski
$132 Vol.
<1%
Mazher Alam
$209 Vol.
<1%
Noah Redden
$158 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 28, 2026 municipal election amid a field of registered challengers including Don Woodstock, Joshua Pagdato, Johnny Calderon, and several others. His early May 2026 registration launch, combined with incumbency patterns that have historically favored sitting mayors in Winnipeg races, underpins trader consensus around his lead. Recent candidate registrations through August have expanded the ballot without shifting momentum, as Gillingham emphasizes his record on housing and infrastructure. The election timeline leaves limited runway for late developments to alter frontrunner dynamics before ballots close.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET
Volume
$5,147End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 28, 2026 municipal election amid a field of registered challengers including Don Woodstock, Joshua Pagdato, Johnny Calderon, and several others. His early May 2026 registration launch, combined with incumbency patterns that have historically favored sitting mayors in Winnipeg races, underpins trader consensus around his lead. Recent candidate registrations through August have expanded the ballot without shifting momentum, as Gillingham emphasizes his record on housing and infrastructure. The election timeline leaves limited runway for late developments to alter frontrunner dynamics before ballots close.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$5,147End Date
Oct 28, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Scott Gillingham, the incumbent Winnipeg mayor seeking a second term, holds the strongest position in the October 28, 2026 municipal election amid a field of registered challengers including Don Woodstock, Joshua Pagdato, Johnny Calderon, and several others. His early May 2026 registration launch, combined with incumbency patterns that have historically favored sitting mayors in Winnipeg races, underpins trader consensus around his lead. Recent candidate registrations through August have expanded the ballot without shifting momentum, as Gillingham emphasizes his record on housing and infrastructure. The election timeline leaves limited runway for late developments to alter frontrunner dynamics before ballots close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions