Skip to main content
icon for South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

icon for South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner

Marat Kambolov 96.9%

Oleg Kozaev 1.0%

Alan Gagloev 1.0%

Dzambolat Tedeev <1%

Polymarket

$11,384 Vol.

Marat Kambolov 96.9%

Oleg Kozaev 1.0%

Alan Gagloev 1.0%

Dzambolat Tedeev <1%

Polymarket

$11,384 Vol.

icon for Marat Kambolov

Marat Kambolov

$9,528 Vol.

97%

icon for Oleg Kozaev

Oleg Kozaev

$207 Vol.

1%

icon for Alan Gagloev

Alan Gagloev

$206 Vol.

1%

icon for Dzambolat Tedeev

Dzambolat Tedeev

$236 Vol.

1%

icon for Khokh Chochiev

Khokh Chochiev

$278 Vol.

1%

icon for Atsamaz Bibilov

Atsamaz Bibilov

$299 Vol.

<1%

icon for Anatoly Bibilov

Anatoly Bibilov

$629 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).Marat Kambolov’s position as acting president of South Ossetia, following Alan Gagloev’s June 2026 resignation to join Vladimir Putin’s advisory team, anchors trader consensus around his victory in the September 18 election. Moscow’s public endorsement, unanimous parliamentary approval of Kambolov as prime minister, and endorsements from major parties including Nykhas and United Ossetia reflect coordinated elite support for advancing Russia-South Ossetia integration. Parliament’s expected adjustment to residency rules further clears his path. Remaining registered contenders face structural limits typical of the region’s narrow candidate pool. Late legal disputes over eligibility, shifts in Russian priorities, or coordinated opposition mobilization remain the primary variables that could still alter outcomes before voting.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).
Volume
$11,384
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).Marat Kambolov’s position as acting president of South Ossetia, following Alan Gagloev’s June 2026 resignation to join Vladimir Putin’s advisory team, anchors trader consensus around his victory in the September 18 election. Moscow’s public endorsement, unanimous parliamentary approval of Kambolov as prime minister, and endorsements from major parties including Nykhas and United Ossetia reflect coordinated elite support for advancing Russia-South Ossetia integration. Parliament’s expected adjustment to residency rules further clears his path. Remaining registered contenders face structural limits typical of the region’s narrow candidate pool. Late legal disputes over eligibility, shifts in Russian priorities, or coordinated opposition mobilization remain the primary variables that could still alter outcomes before voting.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).
Volume
$11,384
End Date
Sep 18, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in South Ossetia on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 South Ossetia presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of the self-declared Republic of South Ossetia, including the Central Electoral Commission (https://cikruo.ru/).

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Marat Kambolov" at 97%, followed by "Oleg Kozaev" at 1%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner" has generated $11.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 21, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner" is "Marat Kambolov" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oleg Kozaev" at 1%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "South Ossetia Presidential Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.