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Politics·Russia

Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner

icon for Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner
Politics·Russia

Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner

Ramzan Kadyrov 96.6%

Ismail Denilkhanov 1.5%

Khalid Nakayev 1.3%

Adam Delimkhanov 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW

Ramzan Kadyrov 96.6%

Ismail Denilkhanov 1.5%

Khalid Nakayev 1.3%

Adam Delimkhanov 1.0%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ramzan Kadyrov

Ramzan Kadyrov

$4,296 Vol.

97%

icon for Ismail Denilkhanov

Ismail Denilkhanov

$610 Vol.

2%

icon for Khalid Nakayev

Khalid Nakayev

$674 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Delimkhanov

Adam Delimkhanov

$551 Vol.

1%

icon for Magomed Daudov

Magomed Daudov

$823 Vol.

1%

icon for Akhmat Kadyrov

Akhmat Kadyrov

$819 Vol.

1%

icon for Apti Alaudinov

Apti Alaudinov

$590 Vol.

1%

icon for Adam Kadyrov

Adam Kadyrov

$1,215 Vol.

<1%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov maintains a dominant 96.6% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency, unanimous United Russia nomination in July 2026, and explicit endorsement from President Vladimir Putin following their April meeting. The vote, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside legislative contests, features limited opposition including registered challengers such as Khalid Nakayev. Trader consensus reflects Kadyrov’s consolidated control over regional institutions and security structures, with no major recent shifts in Kremlin alignment or internal party dynamics. Potential disruptions remain low-probability and would likely require unforeseen developments such as abrupt health-related withdrawal or a late reversal in federal support before the common election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$9,580
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.Ramzan Kadyrov maintains a dominant 96.6% implied probability in the Chechnya head election market due to his long incumbency, unanimous United Russia nomination in July 2026, and explicit endorsement from President Vladimir Putin following their April meeting. The vote, scheduled for 18–20 September alongside legislative contests, features limited opposition including registered challengers such as Khalid Nakayev. Trader consensus reflects Kadyrov’s consolidated control over regional institutions and security structures, with no major recent shifts in Kremlin alignment or internal party dynamics. Potential disruptions remain low-probability and would likely require unforeseen developments such as abrupt health-related withdrawal or a late reversal in federal support before the common election day.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.
Volume
$9,580
End Date
Sep 20, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 24, 2026, 11:10 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Chechnya on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Chechnya gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Chechnya and Russia, including the Election Commission of Chechnya and the Central Election Commission of Russia.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 8 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ramzan Kadyrov" at 97%, followed by "Ismail Denilkhanov" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 24, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner," browse the 8 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" is "Ramzan Kadyrov" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ismail Denilkhanov" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Chechnya Gubernatorial Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.