Darline Graham Nordone holds a near-certain position as first-round winner in the August 11 special Republican primary for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat because official results showed her finishing first with a clear plurality. As the appointee filling the vacancy created by her brother Lindsey Graham’s death, she benefited from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure during the compressed three-week campaign. Multiple Republican candidates split the remaining vote, preventing any challenger from mounting a serious threat to her lead. The runoff between Graham Nordone and second-place finisher Ralph Norman is scheduled for August 25, but that contest does not alter first-round standings. Only an extraordinary post-election development, such as a successful legal challenge or widespread recount altering certified tallies, could realistically reopen the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$623,477 Vol.
$623,477 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Darline Graham Nordone
100%
Ralph Norman
<1%
$623,477 Vol.
$623,477 Vol.
Aug 11, 2026
Darline Graham Nordone
$537,955 Vol.
100%
Ralph Norman
$36,435 Vol.
<1%
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a near-certain position as first-round winner in the August 11 special Republican primary for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat because official results showed her finishing first with a clear plurality. As the appointee filling the vacancy created by her brother Lindsey Graham’s death, she benefited from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure during the compressed three-week campaign. Multiple Republican candidates split the remaining vote, preventing any challenger from mounting a serious threat to her lead. The runoff between Graham Nordone and second-place finisher Ralph Norman is scheduled for August 25, but that contest does not alter first-round standings. Only an extraordinary post-election development, such as a successful legal challenge or widespread recount altering certified tallies, could realistically reopen the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Market Opened: Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$623,477End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Darline Graham Nordone holds a near-certain position as first-round winner in the August 11 special Republican primary for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat because official results showed her finishing first with a clear plurality. As the appointee filling the vacancy created by her brother Lindsey Graham’s death, she benefited from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure during the compressed three-week campaign. Multiple Republican candidates split the remaining vote, preventing any challenger from mounting a serious threat to her lead. The runoff between Graham Nordone and second-place finisher Ralph Norman is scheduled for August 25, but that contest does not alter first-round standings. Only an extraordinary post-election development, such as a successful legal challenge or widespread recount altering certified tallies, could realistically reopen the outcome.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$623,477End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Jul 22, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Darline Graham Nordone holds a near-certain position as first-round winner in the August 11 special Republican primary for South Carolina’s U.S. Senate seat because official results showed her finishing first with a clear plurality. As the appointee filling the vacancy created by her brother Lindsey Graham’s death, she benefited from statewide name recognition and party infrastructure during the compressed three-week campaign. Multiple Republican candidates split the remaining vote, preventing any challenger from mounting a serious threat to her lead. The runoff between Graham Nordone and second-place finisher Ralph Norman is scheduled for August 25, but that contest does not alter first-round standings. Only an extraordinary post-election development, such as a successful legal challenge or widespread recount altering certified tallies, could realistically reopen the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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