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Politics·Mexico

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

icon for Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 40%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 39%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo 13.4%

José Luis Pech Várguez 8.3%

Polymarket
NEW

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña 40%

Eugenio Segura Vázquez 39%

Rafael Marín Mollinedo 13.4%

José Luis Pech Várguez 8.3%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña

$1,539 Vol.

40%

icon for Eugenio Segura Vázquez

Eugenio Segura Vázquez

$950 Vol.

39%

icon for Rafael Marín Mollinedo

Rafael Marín Mollinedo

$594 Vol.

13%

icon for José Luis Pech Várguez

José Luis Pech Várguez

$250 Vol.

8%

icon for Reyna Tamayo Carballo

Reyna Tamayo Carballo

$332 Vol.

5%

icon for Alexa Murguía Trujillo

Alexa Murguía Trujillo

$329 Vol.

5%

icon for Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

Roberto Palazuelos Badeaux

$207 Vol.

4%

icon for Pedro José Flota Alcocer

Pedro José Flota Alcocer

$203 Vol.

4%

icon for Lidia Rojas Fabro

Lidia Rojas Fabro

$187 Vol.

3%

icon for Amalia Castilla Madrid

Amalia Castilla Madrid

$207 Vol.

3%

icon for Leslie Hendricks Rubio

Leslie Hendricks Rubio

$207 Vol.

2%

icon for Mayuli Martínez Simón

Mayuli Martínez Simón

$224 Vol.

2%

icon for Marybel Villegas Canché

Marybel Villegas Canché

$2,101 Vol.

2%

icon for Estefanía Mercado Asencio

Estefanía Mercado Asencio

$1,896 Vol.

2%

icon for Filiberto Martínez Méndez

Filiberto Martínez Méndez

$318 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Ortiz Mena

David Ortiz Mena

$267 Vol.

6%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Eugenio Segura Vázquez and Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña lead the Quintana Roo governor race at roughly 38–40% each in trader pricing, reflecting Morena’s strong statewide position ahead of the 2027 contest and an unresolved internal nomination process. Recent candidate registrations and preference surveys from mid-2026 show Segura ahead within Morena by double digits, while Peralta benefits from high public visibility as Cancún mayor; other declared contenders such as Rafael Marín Mollinedo trail at 15%. The closeness stems from the party’s early-stage selection dynamics and limited differentiation among frontrunners so far. Upcoming Morena internal voting, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in polling on voter intention could widen the gap before the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$9,809
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Eugenio Segura Vázquez and Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña lead the Quintana Roo governor race at roughly 38–40% each in trader pricing, reflecting Morena’s strong statewide position ahead of the 2027 contest and an unresolved internal nomination process. Recent candidate registrations and preference surveys from mid-2026 show Segura ahead within Morena by double digits, while Peralta benefits from high public visibility as Cancún mayor; other declared contenders such as Rafael Marín Mollinedo trail at 15%. The closeness stems from the party’s early-stage selection dynamics and limited differentiation among frontrunners so far. Upcoming Morena internal voting, coalition negotiations, and any shifts in polling on voter intention could widen the gap before the general election.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$9,809
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Quintana Roo on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Quintana Roo gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Quintana Roo and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Quintana Roo and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña" at 40%, followed by "Eugenio Segura Vázquez" at 39%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" is "Ana Patricia Peralta de la Peña" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Eugenio Segura Vázquez" at 39%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Quintana Roo Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.