Lucas Ribeiro holds the leading position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. The Progressistas party formally confirmed his candidacy in early August, consolidating support from a broad coalition that includes the state administration and allied parties. Recent polling averages place him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena, the former João Pessoa mayor running with MDB backing, though the contest remains subject to first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios on October 25. Lower probabilities for Efraim Filho and other listed candidates reflect limited polling visibility and narrower bases of organized support ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader pricing aligns with the incumbent’s structural advantages in visibility and resources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLucas Ribeiro 73%
Cícero Lucena 22%
Efraim Filho 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%
$46,295 Vol.
$46,295 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
73%
Cícero Lucena
22%
Efraim Filho
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
1%
Flávio Lúcio
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
<1%
Lucas Ribeiro 73%
Cícero Lucena 22%
Efraim Filho 5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo <1%
$46,295 Vol.
$46,295 Vol.
Oct 5, 2026
Lucas Ribeiro
$9,869 Vol.
73%
Cícero Lucena
$14,752 Vol.
22%
Efraim Filho
$13,126 Vol.
5%
Veneziano Vital do Rêgo
$2,320 Vol.
1%
Flávio Lúcio
$781 Vol.
1%
Nilvan Ferreira
$778 Vol.
<1%
Romero Rodrigues
$1,409 Vol.
<1%
Marcelo Queiroga
$3,259 Vol.
<1%
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the leading position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. The Progressistas party formally confirmed his candidacy in early August, consolidating support from a broad coalition that includes the state administration and allied parties. Recent polling averages place him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena, the former João Pessoa mayor running with MDB backing, though the contest remains subject to first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios on October 25. Lower probabilities for Efraim Filho and other listed candidates reflect limited polling visibility and narrower bases of organized support ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader pricing aligns with the incumbent’s structural advantages in visibility and resources.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Market Opened: Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ET
Volume
$46,295End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Lucas Ribeiro holds the leading position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. The Progressistas party formally confirmed his candidacy in early August, consolidating support from a broad coalition that includes the state administration and allied parties. Recent polling averages place him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena, the former João Pessoa mayor running with MDB backing, though the contest remains subject to first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios on October 25. Lower probabilities for Efraim Filho and other listed candidates reflect limited polling visibility and narrower bases of organized support ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader pricing aligns with the incumbent’s structural advantages in visibility and resources.
The Paraíba gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volume
$46,295End Date
Oct 5, 2026Market Opened
Jun 12, 2026, 10:39 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lucas Ribeiro holds the leading position in the Paraíba gubernatorial race as the current governor who assumed office in April 2026 following João Azevêdo’s resignation. The Progressistas party formally confirmed his candidacy in early August, consolidating support from a broad coalition that includes the state administration and allied parties. Recent polling averages place him ahead of main challenger Cícero Lucena, the former João Pessoa mayor running with MDB backing, though the contest remains subject to first-round dynamics and potential runoff scenarios on October 25. Lower probabilities for Efraim Filho and other listed candidates reflect limited polling visibility and narrower bases of organized support ahead of the October 4 vote. Trader pricing aligns with the incumbent’s structural advantages in visibility and resources.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions