Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a substantial edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's voter registration tilt toward Republicans, his prior reelection margins, and the district's South Jersey composition. Van Drew, who switched parties after winning in 2018, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the Democratic nomination. Early polling and nonpartisan ratings such as those from Cook Political Report classify the contest as solidly Republican, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Limited recent developments, including the conclusion of primaries and ongoing fundraising patterns favoring the incumbent, have reinforced trader consensus without introducing major new variables that would shift the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNJ-02 House Election Winner
NJ-02 House Election Winner
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
81%
Democratic Party
14%
$24,186 Vol.
$24,186 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,329 Vol.
81%
Democratic Party
$11,858 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a substantial edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's voter registration tilt toward Republicans, his prior reelection margins, and the district's South Jersey composition. Van Drew, who switched parties after winning in 2018, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the Democratic nomination. Early polling and nonpartisan ratings such as those from Cook Political Report classify the contest as solidly Republican, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Limited recent developments, including the conclusion of primaries and ongoing fundraising patterns favoring the incumbent, have reinforced trader consensus without introducing major new variables that would shift the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$24,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a substantial edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's voter registration tilt toward Republicans, his prior reelection margins, and the district's South Jersey composition. Van Drew, who switched parties after winning in 2018, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the Democratic nomination. Early polling and nonpartisan ratings such as those from Cook Political Report classify the contest as solidly Republican, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Limited recent developments, including the conclusion of primaries and ongoing fundraising patterns favoring the incumbent, have reinforced trader consensus without introducing major new variables that would shift the outlook.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$24,186End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Jeff Van Drew holds a substantial edge in New Jersey's 2nd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, reflecting the seat's voter registration tilt toward Republicans, his prior reelection margins, and the district's South Jersey composition. Van Drew, who switched parties after winning in 2018, ran unopposed in the June 2026 Republican primary while Cape May Mayor Zack Mullock secured the Democratic nomination. Early polling and nonpartisan ratings such as those from Cook Political Report classify the contest as solidly Republican, consistent with the implied probability reflected in current market pricing. Limited recent developments, including the conclusion of primaries and ongoing fundraising patterns favoring the incumbent, have reinforced trader consensus without introducing major new variables that would shift the outlook.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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