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Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

icon for Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?
Tech·AI

Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?

September 22 70%

September 7 51%

September 8 47%

September 9 47%

Polymarket

$10,644 Vol.

September 22 70%

September 7 51%

September 8 47%

September 9 47%

Polymarket

$10,644 Vol.

August 29

$670 Vol.

7%

August 30

$610 Vol.

<1%

August 31

$728 Vol.

15%

September 1

$46 Vol.

20%

September 2

$136 Vol.

25%

September 3

$136 Vol.

5%

September 4

$136 Vol.

20%

September 5

$236 Vol.

1%

September 6

$236 Vol.

-

September 7

$136 Vol.

51%

September 8

$136 Vol.

47%

September 9

$136 Vol.

47%

September 10

$136 Vol.

35%

September 11

$46 Vol.

24%

September 12

$136 Vol.

1%

September 13

$136 Vol.

4%

September 14

$136 Vol.

21%

September 15

$136 Vol.

45%

September 16

$136 Vol.

4%

September 17

$136 Vol.

3%

September 18

$156 Vol.

17%

September 19

$417 Vol.

4%

September 20

$457 Vol.

3%

September 21

$136 Vol.

8%

September 22

$136 Vol.

70%

September 23

$136 Vol.

13%

September 24

$136 Vol.

22%

September 25

$156 Vol.

20%

September 26

$136 Vol.

46%

September 27

$462 Vol.

4%

September 28

$136 Vol.

4%

September 29

$136 Vol.

12%

September 30

$136 Vol.

4%

No release by September 30

$2,044 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model faces a fragmented release window because the lab continues to prioritize additional safety classifiers and U.S. government approvals after the June 9 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant. Recent limited expansions, including August integration of Mythos 5 into Claude Security tools for partner code scanning, signal accelerating internal readiness without full public clearance. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s restricted GPT-5.6 cybersecurity models and Chinese labs nearing similar agentic and cyber capabilities, which could force faster timelines. The near-even odds on early-to-mid September dates reflect uncertainty over final validation milestones rather than doubt about an imminent release, with historical three-to-five-month cadence from prior frontier launches providing the main anchor.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,644
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.Anthropic’s next Mythos-class model faces a fragmented release window because the lab continues to prioritize additional safety classifiers and U.S. government approvals after the June 9 launch of Claude Mythos 5 and the safer Fable 5 variant. Recent limited expansions, including August integration of Mythos 5 into Claude Security tools for partner code scanning, signal accelerating internal readiness without full public clearance. Traders weigh this against competitive pressure from OpenAI’s restricted GPT-5.6 cybersecurity models and Chinese labs nearing similar agentic and cyber capabilities, which could force faster timelines. The near-even odds on early-to-mid September dates reflect uncertainty over final validation milestones rather than doubt about an imminent release, with historical three-to-five-month cadence from prior frontier launches providing the main anchor.

This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public.

Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution.

A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$10,644
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 24, 2026, 7:14 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the calendar date (ET) on which Anthropic's next Mythos-class model is made available to the general public. Any model whose official name includes "Mythos," or that Anthropic officially describes as a "Mythos-class" model or similar, will qualify for this market's resolution. A qualifying model must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must either be clearly defined and publicly announced by Anthropic as accessible to the general public, or otherwise be made publicly accessible and explicitly labeled on the company's official website. Labeling errors, placeholder text, or version names displayed on the website that do not correspond to a model that is actually accessible to the general public will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Anthropic, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 38 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "September 10" at 35%, followed by "September 22" at 35%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" has generated $10.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 24, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?," browse the 38 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" is "September 10" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "September 22" at 35%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Mythos-Class Model released on…?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.