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Politics·Bosnia

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

icon for Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?
Politics·Bosnia

Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?

Elmedin Konaković 23%

Nermin Nikšić 13%

Borjana Krišto 7.0%

Dragan Čović 4.0%

Polymarket

$51,308 Vol.

Elmedin Konaković 23%

Nermin Nikšić 13%

Borjana Krišto 7.0%

Dragan Čović 4.0%

Polymarket

$51,308 Vol.

icon for Elmedin Konaković

Elmedin Konaković

$13,811 Vol.

23%

icon for Nermin Nikšić

Nermin Nikšić

$23,320 Vol.

13%

icon for Borjana Krišto

Borjana Krišto

$4,797 Vol.

7%

icon for Dragan Čović

Dragan Čović

$1,232 Vol.

4%

icon for Zoran Tegeltija

Zoran Tegeltija

$2,830 Vol.

4%

icon for Nebojša Vukanović

Nebojša Vukanović

$4,720 Vol.

3%

icon for Saša Magazinović

Saša Magazinović

$111 Vol.

3%

icon for Semir Efendić

Semir Efendić

$105 Vol.

3%

icon for Bakir Izetbegović

Bakir Izetbegović

$106 Vol.

3%

icon for Edin Forto

Edin Forto

$93 Vol.

-

icon for Denis Bećirović

Denis Bećirović

$91 Vol.

-

icon for Denis Zvizdić

Denis Zvizdić

$91 Vol.

27%

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to emerge from post-October 2026 general election coalition talks among Bosniak, Serb, and Croat parties, following the ethnic rotation principle after the current Croat-led cabinet. With elections months away, trader pricing reflects deep uncertainty over seat shares, alliance viability, and parliamentary confirmation thresholds in the House of Representatives. Leading names cluster in the low-to-mid 20s because multiple Bosniak-aligned figures remain plausible depending on voter turnout and entity-level results, while Serb and Croat contenders face structural barriers under rotation norms. Recent developments, including the March 2026 Presidency rotation and ongoing Republika Srpska leadership disputes, underscore how institutional vetoes and cross-ethnic bargaining can stall or shift nominees. Any decisive polling shift, major party endorsement, or pre-election agreement on a consensus candidate could quickly consolidate probabilities ahead of the vote and subsequent negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,308
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina is expected to emerge from post-October 2026 general election coalition talks among Bosniak, Serb, and Croat parties, following the ethnic rotation principle after the current Croat-led cabinet. With elections months away, trader pricing reflects deep uncertainty over seat shares, alliance viability, and parliamentary confirmation thresholds in the House of Representatives. Leading names cluster in the low-to-mid 20s because multiple Bosniak-aligned figures remain plausible depending on voter turnout and entity-level results, while Serb and Croat contenders face structural barriers under rotation norms. Recent developments, including the March 2026 Presidency rotation and ongoing Republika Srpska leadership disputes, underscore how institutional vetoes and cross-ethnic bargaining can stall or shift nominees. Any decisive polling shift, major party endorsement, or pre-election agreement on a consensus candidate could quickly consolidate probabilities ahead of the vote and subsequent negotiations.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$51,308
Market Opened
Jul 2, 2026, 5:43 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed by the House of Representatives of Bosnia and Herzegovina. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Chairman of the Council of Ministers takes office by July 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Bosnia and Herzegovina; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 12 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Denis Bećirović" at 28%, followed by "Edin Forto" at 27%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" has generated $51.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 2, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?," browse the 12 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" is "Denis Bećirović" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Edin Forto" at 27%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.