Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 92.8% to finish first in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to its presidential incumbency under Claudia Sheinbaum, sustained majorities from the 2024 results, and consistent polling leads driven by social program continuity and coalition coordination with PVEM and PT. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI remain fragmented with limited recent gains, while Morena’s internal candidate vetting and territorial organization reinforce structural advantages ahead of the vote. A meaningful shift would require sustained erosion in approval ratings, coordinated opposition consolidation, or major economic or security setbacks within the resolution window, none of which have materialized in current polling or reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMorena 92.8%
PRI 3.3%
PAN 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,058 Vol.
$87,058 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
93%
PRI
3%
PAN
3%
MC
<1%
PT
<1%
PVEM
<1%
Morena 92.8%
PRI 3.3%
PAN 3.2%
MC <1%
$87,058 Vol.
$87,058 Vol.
Jun 6, 2027
Morena
$52,757 Vol.
93%
PRI
$6,263 Vol.
3%
PAN
$9,512 Vol.
3%
MC
$7,582 Vol.
<1%
PT
$5,139 Vol.
<1%
PVEM
$5,805 Vol.
<1%
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 92.8% to finish first in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to its presidential incumbency under Claudia Sheinbaum, sustained majorities from the 2024 results, and consistent polling leads driven by social program continuity and coalition coordination with PVEM and PT. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI remain fragmented with limited recent gains, while Morena’s internal candidate vetting and territorial organization reinforce structural advantages ahead of the vote. A meaningful shift would require sustained erosion in approval ratings, coordinated opposition consolidation, or major economic or security setbacks within the resolution window, none of which have materialized in current polling or reporting.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Market Opened: May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$87,058End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 92.8% to finish first in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to its presidential incumbency under Claudia Sheinbaum, sustained majorities from the 2024 results, and consistent polling leads driven by social program continuity and coalition coordination with PVEM and PT. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI remain fragmented with limited recent gains, while Morena’s internal candidate vetting and territorial organization reinforce structural advantages ahead of the vote. A meaningful shift would require sustained erosion in approval ratings, coordinated opposition consolidation, or major economic or security setbacks within the resolution window, none of which have materialized in current polling or reporting.
A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).
Volume
$87,058End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
May 15, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Morena maintains overwhelming trader consensus at 92.8% to finish first in Mexico’s June 2027 Chamber of Deputies election due to its presidential incumbency under Claudia Sheinbaum, sustained majorities from the 2024 results, and consistent polling leads driven by social program continuity and coalition coordination with PVEM and PT. Opposition parties including PAN and PRI remain fragmented with limited recent gains, while Morena’s internal candidate vetting and territorial organization reinforce structural advantages ahead of the vote. A meaningful shift would require sustained erosion in approval ratings, coordinated opposition consolidation, or major economic or security setbacks within the resolution window, none of which have materialized in current polling or reporting.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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