The market's heavy weighting toward "Not revealed in 2026" at 73% reflects the absence of any official unredaction or court-confirmed identification of the February 2016 email sender by mid-August, despite Rep. Ro Khanna's February 2026 public call for release of the full document. The email's references to outperforming Jeb Bush in Iowa caucus votes from a single congressional district, Trump support, and possible convention delegate status have fueled speculation around figures such as Gwendolyn Beck (7.3%) or various 2016-era Republicans, yet none have produced verified confirmation or primary-source linkage meeting resolution criteria. With resolution required by December 31, 2026, traders assess the remaining window as insufficient for new disclosures or legal proceedings to alter the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNot revealed in 2026 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 9.3%
Donald Trump 1.0%
Rand Paul <1%
$16,988 Vol.
$16,988 Vol.

Not revealed in 2026
76%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Marco Rubio
1%

Ben Carson
<1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
Not revealed in 2026 75%
Gwendolyn Beck 9.3%
Donald Trump 1.0%
Rand Paul <1%
$16,988 Vol.
$16,988 Vol.

Not revealed in 2026
76%

Gwendolyn Beck
9%

Donald Trump
1%

Rand Paul
1%

Marco Rubio
1%

Ben Carson
<1%

Ted Cruz
<1%
This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Feb 13, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve to the individual whose email account is confirmed to have sent the specified message by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
If no individual's email account is confirmed to have sent the message by the end date, this market will resolve to "Not revealed in 2026".
The identity of the account must be revealed unambiguously, for example, through a public unredaction of the document in question, which clearly and definitively reveals the sender’s address.
Official statements regarding the sender’s identity, or any confirmation that does not involve public unredaction of the specified document, including access limited to House members, congressional committees, or other restricted parties, will qualify only if there is a broad consensus as to their truthfulness.
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The market's heavy weighting toward "Not revealed in 2026" at 73% reflects the absence of any official unredaction or court-confirmed identification of the February 2016 email sender by mid-August, despite Rep. Ro Khanna's February 2026 public call for release of the full document. The email's references to outperforming Jeb Bush in Iowa caucus votes from a single congressional district, Trump support, and possible convention delegate status have fueled speculation around figures such as Gwendolyn Beck (7.3%) or various 2016-era Republicans, yet none have produced verified confirmation or primary-source linkage meeting resolution criteria. With resolution required by December 31, 2026, traders assess the remaining window as insufficient for new disclosures or legal proceedings to alter the current consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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