Nikema Williams, the Democratic incumbent in Georgia's 5th Congressional District, secured the party's nomination outright in the May 19, 2026 primary with 88% of the vote against a single challenger. Georgia's election rules require a runoff only if no candidate reaches a majority in the first round; Williams's dominant performance eliminated that possibility for Democrats. The Republican primary was uncontested, further streamlining the process. Traders assigned a 94% probability to an outright first-round winner because the district's strong Democratic lean, limited opposition field, and Williams's established incumbency produced minimal competition well before primary day. No late developments altered this trajectory, as filing deadlines and candidate recruitment closed months earlier without introducing viable alternatives capable of forcing a runoff.