Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope drives the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability of an opening weekend below $6 million. The film’s record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and solid per-theater averages reflect strong niche interest and presales, yet it faces stiff competition from Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and the ongoing run of Spider-Man: Brand New Day. A 2-hour-40-minute runtime, mixed South Korean reception, and typical limited-release patterns for imported genre films further cap upside. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or unusually strong holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
"Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office
<6m 99.3%
6-7m 1.5%
9-10m 1.0%
10m+ <1%
$204,957 Vol.
$204,957 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
99%
6-7m
2%
7-8m
<1%
8-9m
<1%
9-10m
1%
10m+
1%
<6m 99.3%
6-7m 1.5%
9-10m 1.0%
10m+ <1%
$204,957 Vol.
$204,957 Vol.
Sep 13, 2026
<6m
$44,449 Vol.
99%
6-7m
$32,042 Vol.
2%
7-8m
$40,488 Vol.
<1%
8-9m
$29,475 Vol.
<1%
9-10m
$28,677 Vol.
1%
10m+
$29,826 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope drives the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability of an opening weekend below $6 million. The film’s record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and solid per-theater averages reflect strong niche interest and presales, yet it faces stiff competition from Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and the ongoing run of Spider-Man: Brand New Day. A 2-hour-40-minute runtime, mixed South Korean reception, and typical limited-release patterns for imported genre films further cap upside. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or unusually strong holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volume
$204,957End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope drives the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability of an opening weekend below $6 million. The film’s record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and solid per-theater averages reflect strong niche interest and presales, yet it faces stiff competition from Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and the ongoing run of Spider-Man: Brand New Day. A 2-hour-40-minute runtime, mixed South Korean reception, and typical limited-release patterns for imported genre films further cap upside. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or unusually strong holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
This market will resolve according to how much "Hope" Opening Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its opening weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the "Box Office" tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day opening weekend (September 11 - 13) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by September 18, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$204,957End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Sep 9, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Neon’s limited 1,560-theater rollout for Na Hong-jin’s sci-fi thriller Hope drives the market’s near-certain 99.3% implied probability of an opening weekend below $6 million. The film’s record $1.1 million opening day for a Korean title and solid per-theater averages reflect strong niche interest and presales, yet it faces stiff competition from Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey and the ongoing run of Spider-Man: Brand New Day. A 2-hour-40-minute runtime, mixed South Korean reception, and typical limited-release patterns for imported genre films further cap upside. An upset into the $6–7 million range would require exceptional word-of-mouth or unusually strong holdover through the September 11–13 frame.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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