US-Iran military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz has placed strategic Persian Gulf islands such as Hengam under heightened scrutiny. Iranian forces continue to assert operational control over the waterway and surrounding islands through naval patrols, transit regulations, and IRGC statements framing passage as subject to Tehran’s approval. US strikes reported on Hengam and nearby sites in July 2026, alongside a naval blockade and aerial operations, have targeted Iranian positions without confirmed changes in territorial administration. Iranian officials have tied any reopening of the strait to demands including sanctions relief and withdrawal of US forces, while analysts note that sustained control of islands like Hengam, Qeshm, and Hormuz remains central to Iran’s deterrence posture. Further diplomatic talks or intensified strikes could influence assessments of whether sovereignty shifts by resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Hengam Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$120,756 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$120,756 Vol.
August 31
$93,208 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz has placed strategic Persian Gulf islands such as Hengam under heightened scrutiny. Iranian forces continue to assert operational control over the waterway and surrounding islands through naval patrols, transit regulations, and IRGC statements framing passage as subject to Tehran’s approval. US strikes reported on Hengam and nearby sites in July 2026, alongside a naval blockade and aerial operations, have targeted Iranian positions without confirmed changes in territorial administration. Iranian officials have tied any reopening of the strait to demands including sanctions relief and withdrawal of US forces, while analysts note that sustained control of islands like Hengam, Qeshm, and Hormuz remains central to Iran’s deterrence posture. Further diplomatic talks or intensified strikes could influence assessments of whether sovereignty shifts by resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ET
Volume
$120,756End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.US-Iran military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz has placed strategic Persian Gulf islands such as Hengam under heightened scrutiny. Iranian forces continue to assert operational control over the waterway and surrounding islands through naval patrols, transit regulations, and IRGC statements framing passage as subject to Tehran’s approval. US strikes reported on Hengam and nearby sites in July 2026, alongside a naval blockade and aerial operations, have targeted Iranian positions without confirmed changes in territorial administration. Iranian officials have tied any reopening of the strait to demands including sanctions relief and withdrawal of US forces, while analysts note that sustained control of islands like Hengam, Qeshm, and Hormuz remains central to Iran’s deterrence posture. Further diplomatic talks or intensified strikes could influence assessments of whether sovereignty shifts by resolution deadlines.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Hengam Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Hengam Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Hengam Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$120,756End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:13 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US-Iran military escalation in the Strait of Hormuz has placed strategic Persian Gulf islands such as Hengam under heightened scrutiny. Iranian forces continue to assert operational control over the waterway and surrounding islands through naval patrols, transit regulations, and IRGC statements framing passage as subject to Tehran’s approval. US strikes reported on Hengam and nearby sites in July 2026, alongside a naval blockade and aerial operations, have targeted Iranian positions without confirmed changes in territorial administration. Iranian officials have tied any reopening of the strait to demands including sanctions relief and withdrawal of US forces, while analysts note that sustained control of islands like Hengam, Qeshm, and Hormuz remains central to Iran’s deterrence posture. Further diplomatic talks or intensified strikes could influence assessments of whether sovereignty shifts by resolution deadlines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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