Persistent sanctions, high inflation exceeding 40%, and recent regional military escalations including naval blockades and air strikes have sustained downward pressure on the Iranian rial, driving free-market USD/IRR rates near or above 1.8 million in mid-August 2026. These factors limit oil export revenues and foreign currency inflows while boosting demand for hard currency amid economic uncertainty. Trader consensus favors the 1.9-2.0 million band as the most probable outcome by month-end, reflecting the ongoing impact of these structural constraints and limited near-term relief from diplomatic or policy shifts. Broader ranges around this level capture modest variations from short-term volatility or incremental developments before the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated1.9-2.0M 41%
1.8-1.9M 22%
2.0-2.1M 20.4%
<1.7M 12%
$25,994 Vol.
$25,994 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
12%
1.7-1.8M
10%
1.8-1.9M
22%
1.9-2.0M
41%
2.0-2.1M
20%
2.1-2.2M
5%
2.2M+
3%
1.9-2.0M 41%
1.8-1.9M 22%
2.0-2.1M 20.4%
<1.7M 12%
$25,994 Vol.
$25,994 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
<1.7M
$4,669 Vol.
12%
1.7-1.8M
$1,036 Vol.
10%
1.8-1.9M
$2,240 Vol.
22%
1.9-2.0M
$8,366 Vol.
41%
2.0-2.1M
$3,564 Vol.
20%
2.1-2.2M
$5,316 Vol.
5%
2.2M+
$804 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Persistent sanctions, high inflation exceeding 40%, and recent regional military escalations including naval blockades and air strikes have sustained downward pressure on the Iranian rial, driving free-market USD/IRR rates near or above 1.8 million in mid-August 2026. These factors limit oil export revenues and foreign currency inflows while boosting demand for hard currency amid economic uncertainty. Trader consensus favors the 1.9-2.0 million band as the most probable outcome by month-end, reflecting the ongoing impact of these structural constraints and limited near-term relief from diplomatic or policy shifts. Broader ranges around this level capture modest variations from short-term volatility or incremental developments before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Volume
$25,994End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.Persistent sanctions, high inflation exceeding 40%, and recent regional military escalations including naval blockades and air strikes have sustained downward pressure on the Iranian rial, driving free-market USD/IRR rates near or above 1.8 million in mid-August 2026. These factors limit oil export revenues and foreign currency inflows while boosting demand for hard currency amid economic uncertainty. Trader consensus favors the 1.9-2.0 million band as the most probable outcome by month-end, reflecting the ongoing impact of these structural constraints and limited near-term relief from diplomatic or policy shifts. Broader ranges around this level capture modest variations from short-term volatility or incremental developments before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the finalized USD exchange rate on Bonbast for August 31, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$25,994End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent sanctions, high inflation exceeding 40%, and recent regional military escalations including naval blockades and air strikes have sustained downward pressure on the Iranian rial, driving free-market USD/IRR rates near or above 1.8 million in mid-August 2026. These factors limit oil export revenues and foreign currency inflows while boosting demand for hard currency amid economic uncertainty. Trader consensus favors the 1.9-2.0 million band as the most probable outcome by month-end, reflecting the ongoing impact of these structural constraints and limited near-term relief from diplomatic or policy shifts. Broader ranges around this level capture modest variations from short-term volatility or incremental developments before the resolution date.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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