Ongoing US-Iran military confrontation in the Persian Gulf, including strikes on Iranian targets and enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, has intensified focus on Iranian-held islands controlling access to the Strait of Hormuz. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base used historically for speedboat operations and remains under Iranian administration amid reports of mine-laying and attacks on shipping. Gulf states and US officials have discussed clearing or securing such outposts to ensure free navigation, with joint statements in June 2026 rejecting Iranian control over the waterway. No verified change in sovereignty has occurred, though escalation risks or targeted operations within the resolution window could alter the status. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming months may influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFarsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Farsi Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
$168,061 Vol.
Aug 31, 2026
August 31
1%
$168,061 Vol.
August 31
$159,168 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military confrontation in the Persian Gulf, including strikes on Iranian targets and enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, has intensified focus on Iranian-held islands controlling access to the Strait of Hormuz. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base used historically for speedboat operations and remains under Iranian administration amid reports of mine-laying and attacks on shipping. Gulf states and US officials have discussed clearing or securing such outposts to ensure free navigation, with joint statements in June 2026 rejecting Iranian control over the waterway. No verified change in sovereignty has occurred, though escalation risks or targeted operations within the resolution window could alter the status. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming months may influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ET
Volume
$168,061End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing US-Iran military confrontation in the Persian Gulf, including strikes on Iranian targets and enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, has intensified focus on Iranian-held islands controlling access to the Strait of Hormuz. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base used historically for speedboat operations and remains under Iranian administration amid reports of mine-laying and attacks on shipping. Gulf states and US officials have discussed clearing or securing such outposts to ensure free navigation, with joint statements in June 2026 rejecting Iranian control over the waterway. No verified change in sovereignty has occurred, though escalation risks or targeted operations within the resolution window could alter the status. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming months may influence the outcome.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Farsi Island is no longer under Iranian control by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
"No longer under the control of Iran" means that Iran no longer exercises primary governmental or military control over Farsi Island, and another state, occupying force, or internationally backed authority has established control over the island.
Temporary raids, isolated landings, special operations, bombardment, sabotage, naval presence offshore, or temporary disruption of Iranian activity will not qualify on their own.
An announcement, threat, or claim that Iran has lost control will not qualify without actual control being established.
If control changes pursuant to a negotiated settlement, ceasefire term, surrender, or transfer agreement, this will qualify only once actual control has been established on the island.
If control over Farsi Island is contested, unclear, disputed, or not sufficiently established by the resolution date, this will not qualify, and the market will resolve to "No".
The primary resolution source will be official statements from the relevant governments and militaries, along with a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$168,061End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 20, 2026, 9:14 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ongoing US-Iran military confrontation in the Persian Gulf, including strikes on Iranian targets and enforcement of a naval blockade since early 2026, has intensified focus on Iranian-held islands controlling access to the Strait of Hormuz. Farsi Island hosts an IRGC Navy base used historically for speedboat operations and remains under Iranian administration amid reports of mine-laying and attacks on shipping. Gulf states and US officials have discussed clearing or securing such outposts to ensure free navigation, with joint statements in June 2026 rejecting Iranian control over the waterway. No verified change in sovereignty has occurred, though escalation risks or targeted operations within the resolution window could alter the status. Scheduled diplomatic or military developments in the coming months may influence the outcome.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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