**Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.00 per H200 GPU-hour reflects ongoing supply growth from NVIDIA Blackwell B200 ramp-up competing directly with Hopper-based H200 instances for memory-intensive AI inference and training workloads.** Specialized neocloud providers currently list rates near $3.80–$4.50 while hyperscalers remain above $10, creating a wide but compressing spread as B200 capacity expands and displaces some H200 demand. Key swing factors include volatile on-demand availability, neocloud versus hyperscaler pricing tiers, and sustained AI model deployment needs that could stabilize or lift rates through September. The tight distribution across leading bins underscores uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell economics will fully erode H200 premiums versus persistent demand supporting the mid-$4 to low-$6 band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50-$6.00 25%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
$4.00-$4.50 18%
<$4.00 17%
$19,733 Vol.
$19,733 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
17%
$4.00-$4.50
18%
$4.50-$5.00
24%
$5.00-$5.50
16%
$5.50-$6.00
25%
$6.00+
7%
$5.50-$6.00 25%
$4.50-$5.00 24%
$4.00-$4.50 18%
<$4.00 17%
$19,733 Vol.
$19,733 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
<$4.00
$9,202 Vol.
17%
$4.00-$4.50
$1,882 Vol.
18%
$4.50-$5.00
$3,598 Vol.
24%
$5.00-$5.50
$1,516 Vol.
16%
$5.50-$6.00
$1,752 Vol.
25%
$6.00+
$1,784 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.00 per H200 GPU-hour reflects ongoing supply growth from NVIDIA Blackwell B200 ramp-up competing directly with Hopper-based H200 instances for memory-intensive AI inference and training workloads.** Specialized neocloud providers currently list rates near $3.80–$4.50 while hyperscalers remain above $10, creating a wide but compressing spread as B200 capacity expands and displaces some H200 demand. Key swing factors include volatile on-demand availability, neocloud versus hyperscaler pricing tiers, and sustained AI model deployment needs that could stabilize or lift rates through September. The tight distribution across leading bins underscores uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell economics will fully erode H200 premiums versus persistent demand supporting the mid-$4 to low-$6 band.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ET
Volume
$19,733End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.**Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.00 per H200 GPU-hour reflects ongoing supply growth from NVIDIA Blackwell B200 ramp-up competing directly with Hopper-based H200 instances for memory-intensive AI inference and training workloads.** Specialized neocloud providers currently list rates near $3.80–$4.50 while hyperscalers remain above $10, creating a wide but compressing spread as B200 capacity expands and displaces some H200 demand. Key swing factors include volatile on-demand availability, neocloud versus hyperscaler pricing tiers, and sustained AI model deployment needs that could stabilize or lift rates through September. The tight distribution across leading bins underscores uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell economics will fully erode H200 premiums versus persistent demand supporting the mid-$4 to low-$6 band.
This market will resolve according to the finalized Ornn H200 Index price for September 30, 2026.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Volume
$19,733End Date
Sep 30, 2026Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 11:31 AM ETResolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus around $4.50–$6.00 per H200 GPU-hour reflects ongoing supply growth from NVIDIA Blackwell B200 ramp-up competing directly with Hopper-based H200 instances for memory-intensive AI inference and training workloads.** Specialized neocloud providers currently list rates near $3.80–$4.50 while hyperscalers remain above $10, creating a wide but compressing spread as B200 capacity expands and displaces some H200 demand. Key swing factors include volatile on-demand availability, neocloud versus hyperscaler pricing tiers, and sustained AI model deployment needs that could stabilize or lift rates through September. The tight distribution across leading bins underscores uncertainty over how quickly newer Blackwell economics will fully erode H200 premiums versus persistent demand supporting the mid-$4 to low-$6 band.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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