Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, following its $11 billion private valuation from the October 2025 $900 million Series E round, anchors trader sentiment amid projected revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026. This positions the company at roughly 5–7x forward sales, competitive within the wearables sector yet subject to broader equity market multiples and execution risks. Closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion closing market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over final IPO pricing, potential delays beyond 2026, and post-listing performance, with the low 3.5% chance of no IPO before January 2027 underscoring regulatory and macroeconomic sensitivities as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$12.5B–$15B 17%
$20B+ 16%
$10B–$12.5B 15%
$17.5B–$20B 15%
$150,474 Vol.
$150,474 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
<$7.5B
12%
$7.5B–$10B
13%
$10B–$12.5B
15%
$12.5B–$15B
17%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
15%
$20B+
16%
No IPO before January 2027
3%
$12.5B–$15B 17%
$20B+ 16%
$10B–$12.5B 15%
$17.5B–$20B 15%
$150,474 Vol.
$150,474 Vol.
Jan 1, 2027
<$7.5B
$16,567 Vol.
12%
$7.5B–$10B
$26,661 Vol.
13%
$10B–$12.5B
$21,741 Vol.
15%
$12.5B–$15B
$37,707 Vol.
17%
$15B–$17.5B
$13,202 Vol.
13%
$17.5B–$20B
$14,175 Vol.
15%
$20B+
$15,924 Vol.
16%
No IPO before January 2027
$4,498 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, following its $11 billion private valuation from the October 2025 $900 million Series E round, anchors trader sentiment amid projected revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026. This positions the company at roughly 5–7x forward sales, competitive within the wearables sector yet subject to broader equity market multiples and execution risks. Closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion closing market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over final IPO pricing, potential delays beyond 2026, and post-listing performance, with the low 3.5% chance of no IPO before January 2027 underscoring regulatory and macroeconomic sensitivities as key swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Volume
$150,474End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, following its $11 billion private valuation from the October 2025 $900 million Series E round, anchors trader sentiment amid projected revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026. This positions the company at roughly 5–7x forward sales, competitive within the wearables sector yet subject to broader equity market multiples and execution risks. Closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion closing market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over final IPO pricing, potential delays beyond 2026, and post-listing performance, with the low 3.5% chance of no IPO before January 2027 underscoring regulatory and macroeconomic sensitivities as key swing factors.
This market will resolve based on Oura's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Volume
$150,474End Date
Jan 1, 2027Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, following its $11 billion private valuation from the October 2025 $900 million Series E round, anchors trader sentiment amid projected revenue scaling toward $1.5–2 billion in 2026. This positions the company at roughly 5–7x forward sales, competitive within the wearables sector yet subject to broader equity market multiples and execution risks. Closely matched probabilities across $7.5–20 billion closing market cap ranges reflect uncertainty over final IPO pricing, potential delays beyond 2026, and post-listing performance, with the low 3.5% chance of no IPO before January 2027 underscoring regulatory and macroeconomic sensitivities as key swing factors.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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