Current marketplace rates for NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs cluster tightly between $5.29 and $7.05 per hour across providers such as Lambda, Vast.ai, and Hyperbolic, with medians near $6.00, reflecting maturing supply from TSMC ramps and steady AI workload demand. This positioning drives the 46% implied probability for the $5.50–$6.00 band at end of August, as on-demand and reserved listings have stabilized after earlier 2026 volatility, while spot options remain lower but less representative of sustained trader views. Increasing availability tempers upside risk, keeping higher brackets under 5% probability, though last-minute demand spikes or allocation shifts could still influence the final close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$5.50-$6.00 45%
$6.00-$6.50 24%
<$5.50 21.5%
$7.50+ 4.1%
$31,306 Vol.
$31,306 Vol.
<$5.50
22%
$5.50-$6.00
45%
$6.00-$6.50
24%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
<1%
$7.50+
4%
$5.50-$6.00 45%
$6.00-$6.50 24%
<$5.50 21.5%
$7.50+ 4.1%
$31,306 Vol.
$31,306 Vol.
<$5.50
22%
$5.50-$6.00
45%
$6.00-$6.50
24%
$6.50-$7.00
4%
$7.00-$7.50
<1%
$7.50+
4%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 30, 2026, 11:34 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the B200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The specified finalized daily value shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published.
Resolution will occur once the specified data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://dashboard.ornnai.com/computeResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current marketplace rates for NVIDIA Blackwell B200 GPUs cluster tightly between $5.29 and $7.05 per hour across providers such as Lambda, Vast.ai, and Hyperbolic, with medians near $6.00, reflecting maturing supply from TSMC ramps and steady AI workload demand. This positioning drives the 46% implied probability for the $5.50–$6.00 band at end of August, as on-demand and reserved listings have stabilized after earlier 2026 volatility, while spot options remain lower but less representative of sustained trader views. Increasing availability tempers upside risk, keeping higher brackets under 5% probability, though last-minute demand spikes or allocation shifts could still influence the final close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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