Redistricting approved in April 2026 and signed by Governor DeSantis in May shifted Florida's 22nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning D+7 to an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index, turning the seat into a Republican-leaning open contest. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel opted to run elsewhere, leaving crowded primaries on August 18 where multiple Republicans are competing for the nomination in a race rated Lean Republican by Cook and similar outlets. The resulting electorate favors the eventual GOP nominee in the November general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders face the challenge of mobilizing support in the altered boundaries spanning Broward, Collier, and surrounding counties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-22 House Election Winner
FL-22 House Election Winner
$39,080 Vol.
$39,080 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
62%
Democratic Party
38%
$39,080 Vol.
$39,080 Vol.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,425 Vol.
62%
Democratic Party
$16,655 Vol.
38%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in April 2026 and signed by Governor DeSantis in May shifted Florida's 22nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning D+7 to an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index, turning the seat into a Republican-leaning open contest. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel opted to run elsewhere, leaving crowded primaries on August 18 where multiple Republicans are competing for the nomination in a race rated Lean Republican by Cook and similar outlets. The resulting electorate favors the eventual GOP nominee in the November general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders face the challenge of mobilizing support in the altered boundaries spanning Broward, Collier, and surrounding counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$39,080End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting approved in April 2026 and signed by Governor DeSantis in May shifted Florida's 22nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning D+7 to an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index, turning the seat into a Republican-leaning open contest. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel opted to run elsewhere, leaving crowded primaries on August 18 where multiple Republicans are competing for the nomination in a race rated Lean Republican by Cook and similar outlets. The resulting electorate favors the eventual GOP nominee in the November general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders face the challenge of mobilizing support in the altered boundaries spanning Broward, Collier, and surrounding counties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-22 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$39,080End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting approved in April 2026 and signed by Governor DeSantis in May shifted Florida's 22nd congressional district from a Democratic-leaning D+7 to an R+4 Cook Partisan Voting Index, turning the seat into a Republican-leaning open contest. Incumbent Democrat Lois Frankel opted to run elsewhere, leaving crowded primaries on August 18 where multiple Republicans are competing for the nomination in a race rated Lean Republican by Cook and similar outlets. The resulting electorate favors the eventual GOP nominee in the November general election, consistent with trader consensus pricing Republican victory at 62.5 percent. Democratic primary contenders face the challenge of mobilizing support in the altered boundaries spanning Broward, Collier, and surrounding counties.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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