Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces minimal opposition in Florida’s 21st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. Mast secured 61.8% of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled. Democrats will select their nominee in the August 18 primary between candidates including James Martin and Bernard Taylor, but the district’s voting history and structural advantages have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the Republican Party at 86.5%. No late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedFL-21 House Election Winner
FL-21 House Election Winner
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
13%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,068 Vol.
87%
Democratic Party
$3,454 Vol.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces minimal opposition in Florida’s 21st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. Mast secured 61.8% of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled. Democrats will select their nominee in the August 18 primary between candidates including James Martin and Bernard Taylor, but the district’s voting history and structural advantages have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the Republican Party at 86.5%. No late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volume
$8,522End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces minimal opposition in Florida’s 21st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. Mast secured 61.8% of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled. Democrats will select their nominee in the August 18 primary between candidates including James Martin and Bernard Taylor, but the district’s voting history and structural advantages have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the Republican Party at 86.5%. No late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$8,522End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brian Mast faces minimal opposition in Florida’s 21st congressional district, a seat rated Solid Republican by Cook Political Report with an R+7 partisan voting index. Mast secured 61.8% of the vote in 2024 and advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled. Democrats will select their nominee in the August 18 primary between candidates including James Martin and Bernard Taylor, but the district’s voting history and structural advantages have kept trader consensus heavily weighted toward the Republican Party at 86.5%. No late-breaking developments have altered the competitive landscape ahead of the November 3 general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions