Joe Strada leads trader pricing in Florida’s 11th Congressional District Republican primary at 67 percent, reflecting his substantial self-funding, business background, and early campaign launch as an open-seat successor to retiring incumbent Daniel Webster. Carey Baker trails at 25.5 percent amid reports of targeted attack ads questioning residency and ad accuracy, while Tim Wilkins sits at 9 percent and the remaining candidates register near zero. Recent candidate forums and debates have featured Baker, Wilkins, and others but excluded Strada, who declined participation. With the August 18 primary just days away, the fragmented field and uneven fundraising appear to underpin the current market distribution ahead of vote tabulation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedJoe Strada 67%
Carey Baker 26%
Tim Wilkins 9%
Ivette Palomo <1%
$17,690 Vol.
$17,690 Vol.
Joe Strada
67%
Carey Baker
26%
Tim Wilkins
9%
Ivette Palomo
<1%
Nizam Razack
<1%
Joe Strada 67%
Carey Baker 26%
Tim Wilkins 9%
Ivette Palomo <1%
$17,690 Vol.
$17,690 Vol.
Joe Strada
67%
Carey Baker
26%
Tim Wilkins
9%
Ivette Palomo
<1%
Nizam Razack
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Joe Strada leads trader pricing in Florida’s 11th Congressional District Republican primary at 67 percent, reflecting his substantial self-funding, business background, and early campaign launch as an open-seat successor to retiring incumbent Daniel Webster. Carey Baker trails at 25.5 percent amid reports of targeted attack ads questioning residency and ad accuracy, while Tim Wilkins sits at 9 percent and the remaining candidates register near zero. Recent candidate forums and debates have featured Baker, Wilkins, and others but excluded Strada, who declined participation. With the August 18 primary just days away, the fragmented field and uneven fundraising appear to underpin the current market distribution ahead of vote tabulation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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