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icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?

140-159 25%

120-139 24%

200+ 21%

160-179 19%

Polymarket
NEW

140-159 25%

120-139 24%

200+ 21%

160-179 19%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$2,223 Vol.

1%

20-39

$417 Vol.

1%

40-59

$585 Vol.

1%

60-79

$123 Vol.

1%

80-99

$364 Vol.

2%

100-119

$451 Vol.

19%

120-139

$338 Vol.

24%

140-159

$340 Vol.

25%

160-179

$816 Vol.

19%

180-199

$471 Vol.

16%

200+

$1,026 Vol.

23%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments, including the August 1 launch of Truth Social’s paid API providing early access to top accounts for trading firms, have heightened attention to posting volume without altering Trump’s established patterns. Historical data shows average daily output near 18 posts in 2025, with bursts exceeding 100 on high-news days tied to trade policy, court rulings, or foreign affairs updates. The current week begins amid ongoing Iran-related developments and domestic trade enforcement actions, creating uncertainty that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between the 120-159 range. Scheduled events or market-moving announcements could drive separation toward higher bins, while quieter periods would favor lower totals consistent with baseline activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,154
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Recent developments, including the August 1 launch of Truth Social’s paid API providing early access to top accounts for trading firms, have heightened attention to posting volume without altering Trump’s established patterns. Historical data shows average daily output near 18 posts in 2025, with bursts exceeding 100 on high-news days tied to trade policy, court rulings, or foreign affairs updates. The current week begins amid ongoing Iran-related developments and domestic trade enforcement actions, creating uncertainty that keeps implied probabilities clustered tightly between the 120-159 range. Scheduled events or market-moving announcements could drive separation toward higher bins, while quieter periods would favor lower totals consistent with baseline activity.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$7,154
End Date
Aug 21, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "140-159" at 25%, followed by "120-139" at 24%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 25¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 11, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?" is "140-159" at 25%, meaning the market assigns a 25% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "120-139" at 24%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 14 - August 21, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.