Trump’s posting volume on Truth Social during the August 14-21 window reflects trader focus on his established daily cadence as president, which has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in recent periods amid routine policy commentary, trade enforcement, and administration updates. With probabilities clustered tightly between the 140-159 and 200+ bins, markets price in normal variance driven by the news cycle, potential executive actions, and any mid-August developments rather than a single catalyst. Approaching 2026 midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters could elevate output if announcements accelerate, while summer lulls or platform traffic trends exert downward pressure. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts within the date range, leaving room for separation if late-week events prompt sustained activity spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated140-159 25%
200+ 25%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
$13,676 Vol.
$13,676 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
<1%
60-79
4%
80-99
5%
100-119
4%
120-139
12%
140-159
25%
160-179
19%
180-199
20%
200+
25%
140-159 25%
200+ 25%
180-199 20%
160-179 19%
$13,676 Vol.
$13,676 Vol.
Aug 21, 2026
40-59
$3,254 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$1,268 Vol.
4%
80-99
$614 Vol.
5%
100-119
$506 Vol.
4%
120-139
$697 Vol.
12%
140-159
$692 Vol.
25%
160-179
$1,477 Vol.
19%
180-199
$837 Vol.
20%
200+
$1,660 Vol.
25%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s posting volume on Truth Social during the August 14-21 window reflects trader focus on his established daily cadence as president, which has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in recent periods amid routine policy commentary, trade enforcement, and administration updates. With probabilities clustered tightly between the 140-159 and 200+ bins, markets price in normal variance driven by the news cycle, potential executive actions, and any mid-August developments rather than a single catalyst. Approaching 2026 midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters could elevate output if announcements accelerate, while summer lulls or platform traffic trends exert downward pressure. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts within the date range, leaving room for separation if late-week events prompt sustained activity spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$13,676End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump’s posting volume on Truth Social during the August 14-21 window reflects trader focus on his established daily cadence as president, which has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in recent periods amid routine policy commentary, trade enforcement, and administration updates. With probabilities clustered tightly between the 140-159 and 200+ bins, markets price in normal variance driven by the news cycle, potential executive actions, and any mid-August developments rather than a single catalyst. Approaching 2026 midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters could elevate output if announcements accelerate, while summer lulls or platform traffic trends exert downward pressure. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts within the date range, leaving room for separation if late-week events prompt sustained activity spikes.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 14, 12:00 PM ET and August 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$13,676End Date
Aug 21, 2026Market Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trump’s posting volume on Truth Social during the August 14-21 window reflects trader focus on his established daily cadence as president, which has averaged roughly 18 posts per day in recent periods amid routine policy commentary, trade enforcement, and administration updates. With probabilities clustered tightly between the 140-159 and 200+ bins, markets price in normal variance driven by the news cycle, potential executive actions, and any mid-August developments rather than a single catalyst. Approaching 2026 midterms and ongoing foreign policy matters could elevate output if announcements accelerate, while summer lulls or platform traffic trends exert downward pressure. Resolution hinges on the exact count of original posts and reposts within the date range, leaving room for separation if late-week events prompt sustained activity spikes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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