A crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several leading names in the mid-30s percent range while most others sit far lower. Limited recent polling, the absence of major party endorsements or scandals, and typical local dynamics—such as regional alliances, turnout in urban versus peripheral districts, and late shifts among undecided voters—keep probabilities tightly clustered. Clear separation would likely require stronger survey data, key withdrawals consolidating support, or high-profile campaign events in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
José Miguel Briones Silva 28%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
22%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
23%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
23%
José Miguel Briones Silva
28%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
26%
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
26%
Isidro Flores Sosa
24%
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
18%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
8%
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
7%
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
6%
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
9%
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
11%
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
34%
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
José Miguel Briones Silva 28%
NEW
NEW
Oct 4, 2026
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
$67 Vol.
22%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
$67 Vol.
23%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
$67 Vol.
23%
José Miguel Briones Silva
$67 Vol.
28%
Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
$67 Vol.
26%
Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
$67 Vol.
26%
Isidro Flores Sosa
$67 Vol.
24%
Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
$99 Vol.
18%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
$69 Vol.
9%
Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
$67 Vol.
8%
Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
$77 Vol.
7%
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
$87 Vol.
7%
Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
$67 Vol.
7%
Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
$67 Vol.
7%
Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
$67 Vol.
6%
Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
$67 Vol.
5%
Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
$67 Vol.
9%
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
$67 Vol.
11%
Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
$67 Vol.
1%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
$87 Vol.
34%
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several leading names in the mid-30s percent range while most others sit far lower. Limited recent polling, the absence of major party endorsements or scandals, and typical local dynamics—such as regional alliances, turnout in urban versus peripheral districts, and late shifts among undecided voters—keep probabilities tightly clustered. Clear separation would likely require stronger survey data, key withdrawals consolidating support, or high-profile campaign events in the remaining weeks.
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Volume
$1,424End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).A crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several leading names in the mid-30s percent range while most others sit far lower. Limited recent polling, the absence of major party endorsements or scandals, and typical local dynamics—such as regional alliances, turnout in urban versus peripheral districts, and late shifts among undecided voters—keep probabilities tightly clustered. Clear separation would likely require stronger survey data, key withdrawals consolidating support, or high-profile campaign events in the remaining weeks.
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,424End Date
Oct 4, 2026Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Arequipa's October 4, 2026, mayoral race has produced a fragmented contest with no dominant frontrunner. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, pricing several leading names in the mid-30s percent range while most others sit far lower. Limited recent polling, the absence of major party endorsements or scandals, and typical local dynamics—such as regional alliances, turnout in urban versus peripheral districts, and late shifts among undecided voters—keep probabilities tightly clustered. Clear separation would likely require stronger survey data, key withdrawals consolidating support, or high-profile campaign events in the remaining weeks.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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