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Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%

José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Polymarket
NEW

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%

José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga

$67 Vol.

22%

icon for Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera

$67 Vol.

23%

icon for Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca

$67 Vol.

23%

icon for José Miguel Briones Silva

José Miguel Briones Silva

$67 Vol.

28%

icon for Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna

$67 Vol.

26%

icon for Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama

$67 Vol.

26%

icon for Isidro Flores Sosa

Isidro Flores Sosa

$67 Vol.

24%

icon for Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres

$99 Vol.

18%

icon for Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera

$69 Vol.

9%

icon for Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar

$67 Vol.

8%

icon for Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal

$77 Vol.

7%

icon for Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias

$87 Vol.

7%

icon for Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta

$67 Vol.

7%

icon for Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez

$67 Vol.

6%

icon for Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz

$67 Vol.

5%

icon for Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe

$67 Vol.

9%

icon for Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes

$67 Vol.

11%

icon for Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy

$67 Vol.

1%

icon for Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa

$87 Vol.

36%

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than two dozen candidates in Arequipa’s upcoming mayoral race has produced a fragmented vote split, with no contender exceeding low-30s implied probability in trader pricing. Leading names such as Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, José Miguel Briones Silva, and Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama sit in a narrow band, reflecting limited differentiation on local issues like infrastructure, security, and regional governance. This structure mirrors Peru’s typical municipal contests, where multiple parties and independents compete without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Separation could emerge from candidate withdrawals, formal party endorsements, release of departmental polling, or campaign events that consolidate support among undecided voters before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,424
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).The crowded field of more than two dozen candidates in Arequipa’s upcoming mayoral race has produced a fragmented vote split, with no contender exceeding low-30s implied probability in trader pricing. Leading names such as Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, José Miguel Briones Silva, and Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama sit in a narrow band, reflecting limited differentiation on local issues like infrastructure, security, and regional governance. This structure mirrors Peru’s typical municipal contests, where multiple parties and independents compete without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Separation could emerge from candidate withdrawals, formal party endorsements, release of departmental polling, or campaign events that consolidate support among undecided voters before ballots are cast.

The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Volume
$1,424
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
The 2026 Arequipa, Peru mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa" at 36%, followed by "José Miguel Briones Silva" at 28%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 36¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" is "Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa" at 36%, meaning the market assigns a 36% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "José Miguel Briones Silva" at 28%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Arequipa Mayoral Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.