The crowded field of more than two dozen candidates in Arequipa’s upcoming mayoral race has produced a fragmented vote split, with no contender exceeding low-30s implied probability in trader pricing. Leading names such as Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, José Miguel Briones Silva, and Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama sit in a narrow band, reflecting limited differentiation on local issues like infrastructure, security, and regional governance. This structure mirrors Peru’s typical municipal contests, where multiple parties and independents compete without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Separation could emerge from candidate withdrawals, formal party endorsements, release of departmental polling, or campaign events that consolidate support among undecided voters before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedArequipa Mayoral Election Winner
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
22%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
23%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
23%

José Miguel Briones Silva
28%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
26%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
26%

Isidro Flores Sosa
24%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
18%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
8%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
9%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
11%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
36%
Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga 31%
Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera 29%
Lizbeth Zavala Vilca 29.0%
José Miguel Briones Silva 28%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
22%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
23%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
23%

José Miguel Briones Silva
28%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
26%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
26%

Isidro Flores Sosa
24%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
18%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
9%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
8%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
7%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
7%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
7%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
7%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
6%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
5%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
9%

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
11%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
36%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of more than two dozen candidates in Arequipa’s upcoming mayoral race has produced a fragmented vote split, with no contender exceeding low-30s implied probability in trader pricing. Leading names such as Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, José Miguel Briones Silva, and Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama sit in a narrow band, reflecting limited differentiation on local issues like infrastructure, security, and regional governance. This structure mirrors Peru’s typical municipal contests, where multiple parties and independents compete without a dominant incumbent or clear frontrunner. Separation could emerge from candidate withdrawals, formal party endorsements, release of departmental polling, or campaign events that consolidate support among undecided voters before ballots are cast.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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