**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its third weekend riding exceptional early momentum from a record $360 million domestic opening and a $144–145 million second frame that ranks among the highest ever. Current tracking projects a 50–60% drop, landing the film in the $57–77 million range depending on the source, with estimates clustered around $67–72 million. Traders appear to be pricing in the steeper side of those declines amid typical superhero hold patterns, strong but not unprecedented word-of-mouth, and a relatively quiet August marketplace. The tight clustering of the sub-$66 million through low-$70 million bins reflects uncertainty over exact hold percentages and any last-minute audience behavior shifts before the weekend closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
"Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 3rd Weekend Box Office (Lower Strikes)
<66m 49%
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
49%
66-68m
42%
68-70m
42%
70-72m
41%
72m+
3%
<66m 49%
66-68m 42%
68-70m 42%
70-72m 41%
NEW
NEW
Aug 16, 2026
<66m
$0 Vol.
49%
66-68m
$0 Vol.
42%
68-70m
$0 Vol.
42%
70-72m
$0 Vol.
41%
72m+
$0 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its third weekend riding exceptional early momentum from a record $360 million domestic opening and a $144–145 million second frame that ranks among the highest ever. Current tracking projects a 50–60% drop, landing the film in the $57–77 million range depending on the source, with estimates clustered around $67–72 million. Traders appear to be pricing in the steeper side of those declines amid typical superhero hold patterns, strong but not unprecedented word-of-mouth, and a relatively quiet August marketplace. The tight clustering of the sub-$66 million through low-$70 million bins reflects uncertainty over exact hold percentages and any last-minute audience behavior shifts before the weekend closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its third weekend riding exceptional early momentum from a record $360 million domestic opening and a $144–145 million second frame that ranks among the highest ever. Current tracking projects a 50–60% drop, landing the film in the $57–77 million range depending on the source, with estimates clustered around $67–72 million. Traders appear to be pricing in the steeper side of those declines amid typical superhero hold patterns, strong but not unprecedented word-of-mouth, and a relatively quiet August marketplace. The tight clustering of the sub-$66 million through low-$70 million bins reflects uncertainty over exact hold percentages and any last-minute audience behavior shifts before the weekend closes.
This market will resolve according to how much "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" Weekend Box Office will gross domestically on its third weekend. The "Daily Box Office Performance" figures found on the “Box Office” tab on this movie's The Numbers (https://www.the-numbers.com/) page will be used to resolve this market once the values for the 3-day weekend (August 14 - August 16) are final (i.e., not studio estimates).
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekend Box Office Performance for the 3-day weekend (which typically includes Thursday's previews), regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
If there is ambiguity as to whether the resolution source's figures are final, this market will remain open until both https://www.boxofficemojo.com/ and https://www.the-numbers.com/ have confirmed their finalized figures.
If there is no final data available by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 16, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 7:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Spider-Man: Brand New Day** enters its third weekend riding exceptional early momentum from a record $360 million domestic opening and a $144–145 million second frame that ranks among the highest ever. Current tracking projects a 50–60% drop, landing the film in the $57–77 million range depending on the source, with estimates clustered around $67–72 million. Traders appear to be pricing in the steeper side of those declines amid typical superhero hold patterns, strong but not unprecedented word-of-mouth, and a relatively quiet August marketplace. The tight clustering of the sub-$66 million through low-$70 million bins reflects uncertainty over exact hold percentages and any last-minute audience behavior shifts before the weekend closes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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