California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and require state agencies to add an optional Jewish ancestry category on demographic data forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature with minimal opposition. The measure passed the Senate unanimously and cleared key Assembly policy committees, including a recent unanimous vote in the Assembly Judiciary Committee, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the 2026 session. Sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by a coalition of Jewish organizations, the bill addresses gaps in data collection for hate crime reporting, public health, and policy analysis. Traders assign an 88% probability of enactment by December 31 due to this legislative momentum and lack of reported procedural hurdles or partisan resistance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated88% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
88% chance
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Dec 31, 2026
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and require state agencies to add an optional Jewish ancestry category on demographic data forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature with minimal opposition. The measure passed the Senate unanimously and cleared key Assembly policy committees, including a recent unanimous vote in the Assembly Judiciary Committee, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the 2026 session. Sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by a coalition of Jewish organizations, the bill addresses gaps in data collection for hate crime reporting, public health, and policy analysis. Traders assign an 88% probability of enactment by December 31 due to this legislative momentum and lack of reported procedural hurdles or partisan resistance.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Volume
$662End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and require state agencies to add an optional Jewish ancestry category on demographic data forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature with minimal opposition. The measure passed the Senate unanimously and cleared key Assembly policy committees, including a recent unanimous vote in the Assembly Judiciary Committee, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the 2026 session. Sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by a coalition of Jewish organizations, the bill addresses gaps in data collection for hate crime reporting, public health, and policy analysis. Traders assign an 88% probability of enactment by December 31 due to this legislative momentum and lack of reported procedural hurdles or partisan resistance.
California Senate Bill 1387 is a bill that would require state forms or programs that collect ethnic identity data to include an option for a Jewish ethnic identity.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if California enacts legislation into law that would have the effect of treating Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnic identity by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Qualifying legislation includes but is not limited to: any state bill that would require an option for Jewish ethnic identity or ancestry alongside other ethnic identities in state forms that collect ethnic data; any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in civil rights legislation; or any state bill that treats Jewish identity or ancestry as an ethnicity in other government contexts. This market is not limited to SB 1387; any legislation meeting the above description will qualify.
Qualifying legislation must be enacted by the deadline, but its provisions may take effect outside of this market's timeframe.
Legislation that does not become law under the applicable state process, including vetoed bills that do not take effect, does not qualify.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official California state legislative records (including leginfo.legislature.ca.gov), governor's office announcements, secretary of state records, and other official information from the relevant state government; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$662End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 2:38 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...California Senate Bill 1387, which would define ethnicity to include Jewish identity and require state agencies to add an optional Jewish ancestry category on demographic data forms, has advanced rapidly through the legislature with minimal opposition. The measure passed the Senate unanimously and cleared key Assembly policy committees, including a recent unanimous vote in the Assembly Judiciary Committee, positioning it for floor consideration in both houses before the end of the 2026 session. Sponsored by Sen. Henry Stern and backed by a coalition of Jewish organizations, the bill addresses gaps in data collection for hate crime reporting, public health, and policy analysis. Traders assign an 88% probability of enactment by December 31 due to this legislative momentum and lack of reported procedural hurdles or partisan resistance.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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