Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end due to the stalled follow-up to their August 2025 Alaska summit, where personal diplomacy failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire and fighting has since intensified. Recent July 2026 calls between the leaders referenced continued contacts without scheduling an in-person summit, while U.S. envoys pursue indirect talks amid broader foreign policy priorities. China leads location odds as a neutral venue potentially acceptable for bilateral or multilateral diplomacy, reflecting its role in related economic and security discussions. Other sites like the United States or Russia remain low-probability given logistical, security, and political constraints on hosting. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in Ukraine negotiations could still shift these implied probabilities before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 31%
United States 2.8%
Russia 1.4%
$435,061 Vol.
$435,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
64%
China
31%
United States
3%
Russia
1%
Switzerland
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Finland
1%
Other EU country
1%
Belarus
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 31%
United States 2.8%
Russia 1.4%
$435,061 Vol.
$435,061 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$85,078 Vol.
64%
China
$53,689 Vol.
31%
United States
$19,900 Vol.
3%
Russia
$64,252 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$18,617 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$15,080 Vol.
1%
Other
$16,028 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$21,996 Vol.
1%
Finland
$17,950 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$13,907 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$17,627 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$12,874 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$15,740 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$21,059 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end due to the stalled follow-up to their August 2025 Alaska summit, where personal diplomacy failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire and fighting has since intensified. Recent July 2026 calls between the leaders referenced continued contacts without scheduling an in-person summit, while U.S. envoys pursue indirect talks amid broader foreign policy priorities. China leads location odds as a neutral venue potentially acceptable for bilateral or multilateral diplomacy, reflecting its role in related economic and security discussions. Other sites like the United States or Russia remain low-probability given logistical, security, and political constraints on hosting. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in Ukraine negotiations could still shift these implied probabilities before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$435,061End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end due to the stalled follow-up to their August 2025 Alaska summit, where personal diplomacy failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire and fighting has since intensified. Recent July 2026 calls between the leaders referenced continued contacts without scheduling an in-person summit, while U.S. envoys pursue indirect talks amid broader foreign policy priorities. China leads location odds as a neutral venue potentially acceptable for bilateral or multilateral diplomacy, reflecting its role in related economic and security discussions. Other sites like the United States or Russia remain low-probability given logistical, security, and political constraints on hosting. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in Ukraine negotiations could still shift these implied probabilities before December 31.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$435,061End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders assign the highest probability to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end due to the stalled follow-up to their August 2025 Alaska summit, where personal diplomacy failed to produce a Ukraine ceasefire and fighting has since intensified. Recent July 2026 calls between the leaders referenced continued contacts without scheduling an in-person summit, while U.S. envoys pursue indirect talks amid broader foreign policy priorities. China leads location odds as a neutral venue potentially acceptable for bilateral or multilateral diplomacy, reflecting its role in related economic and security discussions. Other sites like the United States or Russia remain low-probability given logistical, security, and political constraints on hosting. Upcoming diplomatic calendars and any breakthrough in Ukraine negotiations could still shift these implied probabilities before December 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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