Zohran Mamdani, sworn in as New York City mayor on January 1, 2026 after his 2025 victory, faces no active recall efforts, resignation signals, or legal proceedings that would force an early exit before year-end. His term runs through 2030, and recent polling shows net positive approval among his 2025 voters alongside a pragmatic governing approach on budgets and public safety that has avoided major institutional clashes. Trader consensus at 95.5% for “No” reflects the short remaining window, the structural barriers to removing an incumbent elected official, and the absence of acute political or health developments that have historically prompted mayoral departures. Late-breaking scandals, sudden incapacity, or an unforeseen coalition shift in the city council could still alter the timeline, though none are evident in current reporting.