Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, plus additional terms including 30 years and seven years from separate 2026 rulings on abuse of power, drone operations, and obstruction charges. He remains in custody as of mid-2026, with appeals to higher courts underway that historically extend for many months. These overlapping convictions and the procedural timeline of South Korea’s judicial system have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of release before the end of 2026, as successful overturns or bail adjustments appear constrained by the cumulative sentences and ongoing proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYoon out of custody before 2027?
Yoon out of custody before 2027?
7% chance
$182,184 Vol.
$182,184 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
7% chance
$182,184 Vol.
$182,184 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, plus additional terms including 30 years and seven years from separate 2026 rulings on abuse of power, drone operations, and obstruction charges. He remains in custody as of mid-2026, with appeals to higher courts underway that historically extend for many months. These overlapping convictions and the procedural timeline of South Korea’s judicial system have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of release before the end of 2026, as successful overturns or bail adjustments appear constrained by the cumulative sentences and ongoing proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ET
Volume
$182,184End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, plus additional terms including 30 years and seven years from separate 2026 rulings on abuse of power, drone operations, and obstruction charges. He remains in custody as of mid-2026, with appeals to higher courts underway that historically extend for many months. These overlapping convictions and the procedural timeline of South Korea’s judicial system have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of release before the end of 2026, as successful overturns or bail adjustments appear constrained by the cumulative sentences and ongoing proceedings.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if President of South Korea Yoon Suk Yeol is released from custody by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Yoon is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Yoon is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Yoon to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$182,184End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 2:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Former South Korean President Yoon Suk-yeol faces a life sentence for insurrection tied to his 2024 martial law declaration, plus additional terms including 30 years and seven years from separate 2026 rulings on abuse of power, drone operations, and obstruction charges. He remains in custody as of mid-2026, with appeals to higher courts underway that historically extend for many months. These overlapping convictions and the procedural timeline of South Korea’s judicial system have shaped trader consensus around the low likelihood of release before the end of 2026, as successful overturns or bail adjustments appear constrained by the cumulative sentences and ongoing proceedings.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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