Presidential immunity under Article 84 of South Korea’s constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges, except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple trials tied to his time as Gyeonggi governor and Seongnam mayor—covering election-law violations, bribery, and misuse of public funds—remain indefinitely postponed by the courts. As of mid-2026, no new indictments have been filed, no legislative moves to strip protections have advanced, and impeachment proceedings have not been initiated. With only months remaining until the end of 2026 and Lee actively engaged in diplomacy and domestic policy, traders see limited near-term pathways to arrest or detention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
Lee Jae-myung arrested before 2027?
8% chance
$529,271 Vol.
$529,271 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
8% chance
$529,271 Vol.
$529,271 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential immunity under Article 84 of South Korea’s constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges, except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple trials tied to his time as Gyeonggi governor and Seongnam mayor—covering election-law violations, bribery, and misuse of public funds—remain indefinitely postponed by the courts. As of mid-2026, no new indictments have been filed, no legislative moves to strip protections have advanced, and impeachment proceedings have not been initiated. With only months remaining until the end of 2026 and Lee actively engaged in diplomacy and domestic policy, traders see limited near-term pathways to arrest or detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ET
Volume
$529,271End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Presidential immunity under Article 84 of South Korea’s constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges, except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple trials tied to his time as Gyeonggi governor and Seongnam mayor—covering election-law violations, bribery, and misuse of public funds—remain indefinitely postponed by the courts. As of mid-2026, no new indictments have been filed, no legislative moves to strip protections have advanced, and impeachment proceedings have not been initiated. With only months remaining until the end of 2026 and Lee actively engaged in diplomacy and domestic policy, traders see limited near-term pathways to arrest or detention.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Leader of the Democratic Party of Korea Lee Jae-myung is arrested or detained by law enforcement by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$529,271End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Nov 5, 2025, 12:46 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Presidential immunity under Article 84 of South Korea’s constitution protects incumbent Lee Jae-myung from prosecution on pre-existing charges, except in cases of insurrection or treason. Multiple trials tied to his time as Gyeonggi governor and Seongnam mayor—covering election-law violations, bribery, and misuse of public funds—remain indefinitely postponed by the courts. As of mid-2026, no new indictments have been filed, no legislative moves to strip protections have advanced, and impeachment proceedings have not been initiated. With only months remaining until the end of 2026 and Lee actively engaged in diplomacy and domestic policy, traders see limited near-term pathways to arrest or detention.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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