Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and partisan voting history underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. With incumbent Mark Gordon term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary among candidates including Megan Degenfelder, Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien will effectively decide the general election outcome on November 3. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive primary producing nominee vulnerabilities, a high-profile Democratic recruitment effort, or late-cycle national shifts altering turnout, though such developments have rarely overcome Wyoming's structural Republican advantage in recent cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
95%
Democrat
3%
NEW
NEW
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$6,405 Vol.
95%
Democrat
$2,373 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and partisan voting history underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. With incumbent Mark Gordon term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary among candidates including Megan Degenfelder, Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien will effectively decide the general election outcome on November 3. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive primary producing nominee vulnerabilities, a high-profile Democratic recruitment effort, or late-cycle national shifts altering turnout, though such developments have rarely overcome Wyoming's structural Republican advantage in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ET
Volume
$8,778End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and partisan voting history underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. With incumbent Mark Gordon term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary among candidates including Megan Degenfelder, Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien will effectively decide the general election outcome on November 3. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive primary producing nominee vulnerabilities, a high-profile Democratic recruitment effort, or late-cycle national shifts altering turnout, though such developments have rarely overcome Wyoming's structural Republican advantage in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volume
$8,778End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Oct 13, 2025, 5:36 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Wyoming's strongly Republican electorate and partisan voting history underpin the market's overwhelming preference for a GOP winner in the 2026 gubernatorial contest. With incumbent Mark Gordon term-limited, the August 18 Republican primary among candidates including Megan Degenfelder, Eric Barlow, and Brent Bien will effectively decide the general election outcome on November 3. Cook Political Report and other forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, reflecting limited Democratic infrastructure and fundraising in the state. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include an unusually divisive primary producing nominee vulnerabilities, a high-profile Democratic recruitment effort, or late-cycle national shifts altering turnout, though such developments have rarely overcome Wyoming's structural Republican advantage in recent cycles.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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