Wyoming’s Republican primary for the at-large U.S. House seat on August 18 features a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered. Secretary of State Chuck Gray holds a modest edge in trader consensus, but self-funding by Steve Friess and Reid Rasner, along with Bo Biteman’s statewide profile, has fueled competitive name recognition and mail efforts. Forums in Casper and elsewhere have highlighted shared priorities on election integrity, energy policy, and public lands without producing clear separation. With only days remaining, last-minute endorsements, turnout among rural and energy-producing counties, and any late attacks could shift support among the fragmented vote before the primary decides the nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedChuck Gray 53%
Steve Friess 44%
Reid Rasner 1.6%
Kevin Christensen 1.6%
$25,942 Vol.
$25,942 Vol.
Chuck Gray
53%
Steve Friess
44%
Reid Rasner
2%
Kevin Christensen
2%
Frank Chapman
1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
John Romero-Martinez
<1%
Jillian Balow
<1%
David Giralt
<1%
Keith Goodenough
<1%
Richard Dodson
<1%
Chuck Gray 53%
Steve Friess 44%
Reid Rasner 1.6%
Kevin Christensen 1.6%
$25,942 Vol.
$25,942 Vol.
Chuck Gray
53%
Steve Friess
44%
Reid Rasner
2%
Kevin Christensen
2%
Frank Chapman
1%
Bo Biteman
<1%
John Romero-Martinez
<1%
Jillian Balow
<1%
David Giralt
<1%
Keith Goodenough
<1%
Richard Dodson
<1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Market Opened: Jul 23, 2026, 3:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Wyoming’s Republican primary for the at-large U.S. House seat on August 18 features a crowded field of more than a dozen candidates, keeping implied probabilities tightly clustered. Secretary of State Chuck Gray holds a modest edge in trader consensus, but self-funding by Steve Friess and Reid Rasner, along with Bo Biteman’s statewide profile, has fueled competitive name recognition and mail efforts. Forums in Casper and elsewhere have highlighted shared priorities on election integrity, energy policy, and public lands without producing clear separation. With only days remaining, last-minute endorsements, turnout among rural and energy-producing counties, and any late attacks could shift support among the fragmented vote before the primary decides the nominee.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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