Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into late August 2026, trading near $4,600 per ounce after gains of over 11% in the past month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes following cooler inflation prints and soft July jobs data. Safe-haven demand tied to Middle East tensions has reinforced the move, while lower real yields and Treasury buyback activity have further lifted the non-yielding metal above key moving averages. For the week of August 24, traders will focus on upcoming releases including ADP employment, preliminary Q2 GDP, initial jobless claims, and consumer confidence figures that could shift dollar and rate-path pricing. Current levels reflect market-implied odds for continued volatility around these data points rather than directional certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $4,950
6%
↑ $4,900
10%
↑ $4,850
16%
↑ $4,800
27%
↑ $4,750
41%
↑ $4,700
60%
↑ $4,650
75%
↓ $4,600
94%
↓ $4,550
73%
↓ $4,500
55%
↓ $4,450
36%
↓ $4,400
22%
↓ $4,350
10%
↓ $4,300
5%
$275 Vol.
↑ $4,950
6%
↑ $4,900
10%
↑ $4,850
16%
↑ $4,800
27%
↑ $4,750
41%
↑ $4,700
60%
↑ $4,650
75%
↓ $4,600
94%
↓ $4,550
73%
↓ $4,500
55%
↓ $4,450
36%
↓ $4,400
22%
↓ $4,350
10%
↓ $4,300
5%
Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during an applicable trading session of the specified timeframe's business days will be considered. The trading session for a given business day typically begins at 6:00 PM ET on the prior calendar date. Under the standard schedule, trading is open from 6:00:00 PM ET Sunday through 5:00:00 PM ET Friday, with a daily break from 5:00:00 PM ET to 6:00:00 PM ET, except where modified by holiday or special-session hours.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If Gold (XAUUSD) does not trade at all during the listed time frame, this market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a contract specification change, feed change, or similar structural modification affecting the market during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the Gold (XAUUSD) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter.
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published for the relevant CME COMEX futures contract for the underlying metal—COMEX Gold Futures (GC)—may be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Metal.XAU%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Gold (XAU/USD) has rallied sharply into late August 2026, trading near $4,600 per ounce after gains of over 11% in the past month, supported by a weaker U.S. dollar and scaled-back expectations for Federal Reserve rate hikes following cooler inflation prints and soft July jobs data. Safe-haven demand tied to Middle East tensions has reinforced the move, while lower real yields and Treasury buyback activity have further lifted the non-yielding metal above key moving averages. For the week of August 24, traders will focus on upcoming releases including ADP employment, preliminary Q2 GDP, initial jobless claims, and consumer confidence figures that could shift dollar and rate-path pricing. Current levels reflect market-implied odds for continued volatility around these data points rather than directional certainty.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions