**SpaceX (SPCX) closed at $136.97 on August 21, 2026, following a volatile post-IPO period marked by multiple share unlocks.** The leading market-implied ranges cluster tightly around current levels because a 319-million-share unlock in mid-August added supply pressure—pushing the stock down as much as 5-6% intraday—while rebounding on solid Starlink subscriber and revenue momentum. Traders weigh the company’s elevated ~63× price-to-sales multiple and ongoing heavy R&D outlays (including AI initiatives) against higher analyst price targets near $213 and upcoming launch cadence. Further lock-up expirations later in 2026 keep near-term supply dynamics in focus, leaving week-ahead closing probabilities evenly distributed across the $130–$145 bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$135-$140 25%
$130-$135 24%
$140-$145 20%
$125-$130 15%
<$115
13%
$115-$120
13%
$120-$125
10%
$125-$130
15%
$130-$135
24%
$135-$140
25%
$140-$145
20%
$145-$150
12%
$150-$155
13%
$155-$160
13%
>$160
8%
$135-$140 25%
$130-$135 24%
$140-$145 20%
$125-$130 15%
<$115
13%
$115-$120
13%
$120-$125
10%
$125-$130
15%
$130-$135
24%
$135-$140
25%
$140-$145
20%
$145-$150
12%
$150-$155
13%
$155-$160
13%
>$160
8%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for SpaceX (SPCX) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPCX%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**SpaceX (SPCX) closed at $136.97 on August 21, 2026, following a volatile post-IPO period marked by multiple share unlocks.** The leading market-implied ranges cluster tightly around current levels because a 319-million-share unlock in mid-August added supply pressure—pushing the stock down as much as 5-6% intraday—while rebounding on solid Starlink subscriber and revenue momentum. Traders weigh the company’s elevated ~63× price-to-sales multiple and ongoing heavy R&D outlays (including AI initiatives) against higher analyst price targets near $213 and upcoming launch cadence. Further lock-up expirations later in 2026 keep near-term supply dynamics in focus, leaving week-ahead closing probabilities evenly distributed across the $130–$145 bands.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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