NVIDIA’s closely matched Polymarket odds across $195–$240 bins reflect deep trader uncertainty ahead of the fiscal Q2 2027 earnings release scheduled for August 26 after the close. Current share price near $215 trades well below the $236.54 high amid modest 2026 YTD gains, even as data-center demand and a four-quarter EPS beat streak support elevated consensus revenue estimates around $91 billion. High expectations for gross margins near 75% and continued AI infrastructure spending create a narrow path for outsized moves, while any shortfall could pressure the stock toward lower bins. The week’s close will hinge on post-earnings reaction, with limited other catalysts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$215-$220 16%
<$195 16%
$210-$215 16%
$205-$210 15%
<$195
16%
$195-$200
8%
$200-$205
9%
$205-$210
15%
$210-$215
16%
$215-$220
16%
$220-$225
15%
$225-$230
11%
$230-$235
13%
$235-$240
11%
>$240
13%
$215-$220 16%
<$195 16%
$210-$215 16%
$205-$210 15%
<$195
16%
$195-$200
8%
$200-$205
9%
$205-$210
15%
$210-$215
16%
$215-$220
16%
$220-$225
15%
$225-$230
11%
$230-$235
13%
$235-$240
11%
>$240
13%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x69c47De9D...NVIDIA’s closely matched Polymarket odds across $195–$240 bins reflect deep trader uncertainty ahead of the fiscal Q2 2027 earnings release scheduled for August 26 after the close. Current share price near $215 trades well below the $236.54 high amid modest 2026 YTD gains, even as data-center demand and a four-quarter EPS beat streak support elevated consensus revenue estimates around $91 billion. High expectations for gross margins near 75% and continued AI infrastructure spending create a narrow path for outsized moves, while any shortfall could pressure the stock toward lower bins. The week’s close will hinge on post-earnings reaction, with limited other catalysts before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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