Recent all-time highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500, with SPY trading around 765–770 as of August 21, 2026, reflect cooling July inflation readings and resilient second-quarter earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and subsequent minutes have reinforced market-implied odds of steady policy into September, supporting equity valuations at current multiples. Traders are focused on the week’s data slate—including durable goods orders, core PCE, Q2 GDP revisions, and jobless claims—as potential catalysts that could shift rate expectations or trigger short-term volatility around these elevated levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated↑ $800
8%
↑ $795
9%
↑ $790
8%
↑ $785
13%
↑ $780
24%
↑ $775
44%
↑ $770
65%
↓ $765
72%
↓ $760
56%
↓ $755
41%
↓ $750
29%
↓ $745
20%
↓ $740
14%
↓ $735
8%
$62 Vol.
↑ $800
8%
↑ $795
9%
↑ $790
8%
↑ $785
13%
↑ $780
24%
↑ $775
44%
↑ $770
65%
↓ $765
72%
↓ $760
56%
↓ $755
41%
↓ $750
29%
↓ $745
20%
↓ $740
14%
↓ $735
8%
Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Market Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 6:01 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Only prices achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange on which the listed security trades (typically 9:30 AM – 4:00 PM ET) will be considered. Prices occurring during pre-market or after-hours trading will not qualify.
Prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed company during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth.
The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market is Pyth — specifically, the S&P 500 (SPY) "High" and "Low" prices available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD, with the chart settings configured for 1-minute candles.
Historical 1-minute candles may be accessed by appending a Unix timestamp (seconds) to the Pyth chart URL using the "t=" parameter. Any timestamp within the listed market time frame may be used to view the relevant candle data (e.g., https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSD?t=1773432000)
If the relevant Pyth data is unavailable due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption that prevents verification of the required 1-minute candle data, the official daily high/low price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine whether the listed price was reached during the applicable trading session.
Resolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.SPY%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent all-time highs near 7,800 for the S&P 500, with SPY trading around 765–770 as of August 21, 2026, reflect cooling July inflation readings and resilient second-quarter earnings, particularly from AI-driven technology names. The Federal Reserve’s decision to hold the funds rate at 3.50–3.75% and subsequent minutes have reinforced market-implied odds of steady policy into September, supporting equity valuations at current multiples. Traders are focused on the week’s data slate—including durable goods orders, core PCE, Q2 GDP revisions, and jobless claims—as potential catalysts that could shift rate expectations or trigger short-term volatility around these elevated levels.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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