As of mid-August 2026, no major-party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving the field wide open with only minor exploratory filings or FEC registrations from lesser-known candidates. Potential contenders across both parties continue building visibility through polling, fundraising, and public appearances while awaiting the November 2026 midterms, which often reshape party positioning and donor priorities. Traders appear focused on which governors, senators, or former cabinet officials might move first after those elections, as historical patterns show announcements accelerating in 2027. Upcoming midterm results, early-state surveys, and any shifts in party leadership dynamics could prompt earlier declarations by testing viability signals ahead of primaries and caucuses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$40,377 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg
85%

Gavin Newsom
82%

Andy Beshear
78%

J.D. Vance
76%

Ted Cruz
75%

Rahm Emanuel
74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
69%

Cory Booker
69%

Josh Shapiro
68%

J.B. Pritzker
67%

Kamala Harris
65%

Ron DeSantis
75%

Mark Kelly
62%

Wes Moore
60%

Nikki Haley
59%

Jon Ossoff
53%

George Clooney
51%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
50%

Matt Gaetz
49%

Katie Britt
48%

Elise Stefanik
48%

Candace Owens
48%

Marco Rubio
48%

Kristi Noem
48%

Don Lemon
46%

Beto O’Rourke
45%

Rand Paul
36%

Jared Polis
35%

Andrew Yang
39%

Glenn Youngkin
31%

Vivek Ramaswamy
31%

Gretchen Whitmer
35%

Raphael Warnock
30%

Brian Kemp
28%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
28%

Donald Trump
27%

Donald Trump Jr.
27%

Steve Bannon
26%

Tulsi Gabbard
26%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
23%

Josh Hawley
22%

Tucker Carlson
21%

John Fetterman
21%

Liz Cheney
21%

Gina Raimondo
20%

Phil Murphy
20%

Stephen A. Smith
19%

Mark Cuban
19%

Oprah Winfrey
18%

John Thune
17%

Jon Stewart
17%

Elon Musk
17%

Mike Pence
17%

Bernie Sanders
16%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
16%

Michelle Obama
16%

Greg Abbott
15%

Hunter Biden
15%

Ivanka Trump
14%

Kim Kardashian
14%

Tom Brady
13%

MrBeast
13%

Zohran Mamdani
13%

Barack Obama
12%

Roy Cooper
12%

Hillary Clinton
11%

Erika Kirk
10%

Tim Walz
7%

Chelsea Clinton
4%

LeBron James
2%

Byron Donalds
37%
$40,377 Vol.

Pete Buttigieg
85%

Gavin Newsom
82%

Andy Beshear
78%

J.D. Vance
76%

Ted Cruz
75%

Rahm Emanuel
74%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
69%

Cory Booker
69%

Josh Shapiro
68%

J.B. Pritzker
67%

Kamala Harris
65%

Ron DeSantis
75%

Mark Kelly
62%

Wes Moore
60%

Nikki Haley
59%

Jon Ossoff
53%

George Clooney
51%

Sarah Huckabee Sanders
50%

Matt Gaetz
49%

Katie Britt
48%

Elise Stefanik
48%

Candace Owens
48%

Marco Rubio
48%

Kristi Noem
48%

Don Lemon
46%

Beto O’Rourke
45%

Rand Paul
36%

Jared Polis
35%

Andrew Yang
39%

Glenn Youngkin
31%

Vivek Ramaswamy
31%

Gretchen Whitmer
35%

Raphael Warnock
30%

Brian Kemp
28%

Robert F. Kennedy Jr.
28%

Donald Trump
27%

Donald Trump Jr.
27%

Steve Bannon
26%

Tulsi Gabbard
26%

Marjorie Taylor Greene
23%

Josh Hawley
22%

Tucker Carlson
21%

John Fetterman
21%

Liz Cheney
21%

Gina Raimondo
20%

Phil Murphy
20%

Stephen A. Smith
19%

Mark Cuban
19%

Oprah Winfrey
18%

John Thune
17%

Jon Stewart
17%

Elon Musk
17%

Mike Pence
17%

Bernie Sanders
16%

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson
16%

Michelle Obama
16%

Greg Abbott
15%

Hunter Biden
15%

Ivanka Trump
14%

Kim Kardashian
14%

Tom Brady
13%

MrBeast
13%

Zohran Mamdani
13%

Barack Obama
12%

Roy Cooper
12%

Hillary Clinton
11%

Erika Kirk
10%

Tim Walz
7%

Chelsea Clinton
4%

LeBron James
2%

Byron Donalds
37%
An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 5:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...An announcement by the listed individual will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they actually filed a nomination to run, or whether they actually file a nomination to run in the future.
A qualifying announcement must be explicit and unambiguous. Conditional statements, or statements that are clearly sarcastic, made in jest, or immediately clarified as not being genuine will not count.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individual (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...As of mid-August 2026, no major-party figures have launched formal 2028 presidential campaigns, leaving the field wide open with only minor exploratory filings or FEC registrations from lesser-known candidates. Potential contenders across both parties continue building visibility through polling, fundraising, and public appearances while awaiting the November 2026 midterms, which often reshape party positioning and donor priorities. Traders appear focused on which governors, senators, or former cabinet officials might move first after those elections, as historical patterns show announcements accelerating in 2027. Upcoming midterm results, early-state surveys, and any shifts in party leadership dynamics could prompt earlier declarations by testing viability signals ahead of primaries and caucuses.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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