No Democratic candidates have formally declared 2028 presidential bids as of mid-August 2026, leaving the "Other" outcome at 50% as traders price in the possibility of an unlisted contender or delayed timeline. Andy Beshear leads listed names at 30% on the strength of his record as Kentucky governor and perceived crossover appeal in a fragmented field. Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg sit near 20% each, reflecting their national visibility, fundraising networks, and prior exploratory steps. Kamala Harris holds 13% amid earlier signals of interest, while lower-priced figures such as Ro Khanna and Rahm Emanuel factor into discussions of progressive or establishment lanes. July DNC actions on the 2028 primary calendar and ongoing media speculation about potential entrants continue to shape positioning without shifting probabilities through confirmed announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAndy Beshear 30%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 18%
Kamala Harris 13%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
30%
Gavin Newsom
20%
Pete Buttigieg
17%
Kamala Harris
13%
Ro Khanna
9%
Rahm Emanuel
8%
Josh Shapiro
4%
Jon Ossoff
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
1%
Jon Stewart
1%
Stephen A. Smith
8%
Andy Beshear 30%
Gavin Newsom 19.8%
Pete Buttigieg 18%
Kamala Harris 13%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2028
Andy Beshear
$1,903 Vol.
30%
Gavin Newsom
$2,775 Vol.
20%
Pete Buttigieg
$603 Vol.
17%
Kamala Harris
$504 Vol.
13%
Ro Khanna
$463 Vol.
9%
Rahm Emanuel
$592 Vol.
8%
Josh Shapiro
$306 Vol.
4%
Jon Ossoff
$306 Vol.
1%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
$391 Vol.
1%
Jon Stewart
$364 Vol.
1%
Stephen A. Smith
$300 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally declared 2028 presidential bids as of mid-August 2026, leaving the "Other" outcome at 50% as traders price in the possibility of an unlisted contender or delayed timeline. Andy Beshear leads listed names at 30% on the strength of his record as Kentucky governor and perceived crossover appeal in a fragmented field. Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg sit near 20% each, reflecting their national visibility, fundraising networks, and prior exploratory steps. Kamala Harris holds 13% amid earlier signals of interest, while lower-priced figures such as Ro Khanna and Rahm Emanuel factor into discussions of progressive or establishment lanes. July DNC actions on the 2028 primary calendar and ongoing media speculation about potential entrants continue to shape positioning without shifting probabilities through confirmed announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ET
Volume
$8,508End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.No Democratic candidates have formally declared 2028 presidential bids as of mid-August 2026, leaving the "Other" outcome at 50% as traders price in the possibility of an unlisted contender or delayed timeline. Andy Beshear leads listed names at 30% on the strength of his record as Kentucky governor and perceived crossover appeal in a fragmented field. Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg sit near 20% each, reflecting their national visibility, fundraising networks, and prior exploratory steps. Kamala Harris holds 13% amid earlier signals of interest, while lower-priced figures such as Ro Khanna and Rahm Emanuel factor into discussions of progressive or establishment lanes. July DNC actions on the 2028 primary calendar and ongoing media speculation about potential entrants continue to shape positioning without shifting probabilities through confirmed announcements.
This market will resolve according to the first listed individual who publicly and unambiguously announces their candidacy in the 2028 United States presidential election, whether they are seeking any party nomination in the election or otherwise. An announcement that an individual is exploring a run or has formed an exploratory committee will be insufficient to resolve this market.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The listed individuals are: Gavin Newsom, Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Kamala Harris, Josh Shapiro, Pete Buttigieg, Jon Stewart, Andy Beshear, Rahm Emanuel, Ro Khanna, and Stephen A. Smith.
An announcement by a listed individual will be sufficient to trigger resolution, regardless of whether they file their candidacy with the relevant regulatory authority. A campaign filing without an announcement will not be sufficient to resolve this market.
If no listed individual makes such an announcement by December 31, 2027 at 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Once a qualifying announcement is made, subsequent withdrawal or retraction will not affect resolution.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by the listed individuals (ex: via speech, social media, etc.), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$8,508End Date
Dec 31, 2027Market Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 9:34 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...No Democratic candidates have formally declared 2028 presidential bids as of mid-August 2026, leaving the "Other" outcome at 50% as traders price in the possibility of an unlisted contender or delayed timeline. Andy Beshear leads listed names at 30% on the strength of his record as Kentucky governor and perceived crossover appeal in a fragmented field. Gavin Newsom and Pete Buttigieg sit near 20% each, reflecting their national visibility, fundraising networks, and prior exploratory steps. Kamala Harris holds 13% amid earlier signals of interest, while lower-priced figures such as Ro Khanna and Rahm Emanuel factor into discussions of progressive or establishment lanes. July DNC actions on the 2028 primary calendar and ongoing media speculation about potential entrants continue to shape positioning without shifting probabilities through confirmed announcements.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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