The elevated probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy one year after their unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit, with the Ukraine conflict showing no signs of resolution despite intermittent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed only to further talks. Traders appear to view the ongoing war escalation, European efforts to shape negotiations, and U.S. domestic priorities as barriers to in-person engagement before December. Among locations, China leads due to its perceived neutrality and hosting precedent in prior high-level diplomacy, while low odds for the United States, Russia, or European sites align with recent statements ruling out immediate summits and uncertainty around a potential G20 invitation in Miami.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 31%
United States 3.7%
Russia 1.3%
$445,363 Vol.
$445,363 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
64%
China
31%
United States
4%
Russia
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Finland
1%
Other EU country
1%
Turkey
<1%
Belarus
<1%
Switzerland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 64%
China 31%
United States 3.7%
Russia 1.3%
$445,363 Vol.
$445,363 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$86,227 Vol.
64%
China
$54,447 Vol.
31%
United States
$21,977 Vol.
4%
Russia
$64,954 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$15,695 Vol.
1%
Other
$16,623 Vol.
1%
Finland
$18,575 Vol.
1%
Other EU country
$14,558 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$22,571 Vol.
<1%
Belarus
$18,178 Vol.
<1%
Switzerland
$19,140 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$13,399 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$16,145 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$21,610 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$41,264 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy one year after their unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit, with the Ukraine conflict showing no signs of resolution despite intermittent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed only to further talks. Traders appear to view the ongoing war escalation, European efforts to shape negotiations, and U.S. domestic priorities as barriers to in-person engagement before December. Among locations, China leads due to its perceived neutrality and hosting precedent in prior high-level diplomacy, while low odds for the United States, Russia, or European sites align with recent statements ruling out immediate summits and uncertainty around a potential G20 invitation in Miami.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$445,363End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.The elevated probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy one year after their unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit, with the Ukraine conflict showing no signs of resolution despite intermittent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed only to further talks. Traders appear to view the ongoing war escalation, European efforts to shape negotiations, and U.S. domestic priorities as barriers to in-person engagement before December. Among locations, China leads due to its perceived neutrality and hosting precedent in prior high-level diplomacy, while low odds for the United States, Russia, or European sites align with recent statements ruling out immediate summits and uncertainty around a potential G20 invitation in Miami.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$445,363End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The elevated probability of no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end reflects stalled bilateral diplomacy one year after their unproductive August 2025 Alaska summit, with the Ukraine conflict showing no signs of resolution despite intermittent phone contacts, including a July 2026 call in which both sides agreed only to further talks. Traders appear to view the ongoing war escalation, European efforts to shape negotiations, and U.S. domestic priorities as barriers to in-person engagement before December. Among locations, China leads due to its perceived neutrality and hosting precedent in prior high-level diplomacy, while low odds for the United States, Russia, or European sites align with recent statements ruling out immediate summits and uncertainty around a potential G20 invitation in Miami.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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