Stalled bilateral diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and recent escalations, has driven trader consensus toward no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 64.5%. Phone contacts in July 2026 produced no firm follow-up venue or timeline, while White House statements have ruled out immediate plans. China leads location probabilities at 30.5% due to its neutral multilateral forums and potential BRICS or bilateral channels. Other sites such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states remain low because of security concerns, sanctions, and the absence of scheduled summits within the resolution window. Recent developments, including intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russian targets and Putin's Pacific travels, have reinforced uncertainty over any 2026 encounter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhere will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
No meeting by December 31 65%
China 31%
United States 1.5%
Russia 1.5%
$427,542 Vol.
$427,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
65%
China
31%
United States
2%
Russia
1%
Gulf country
1%
Other
1%
Turkey
1%
Switzerland
1%
Belarus
<1%
Other EU country
<1%
Finland
<1%
South Korea
<1%
Ukraine
<1%
Japan
<1%
Australia
<1%
No meeting by December 31 65%
China 31%
United States 1.5%
Russia 1.5%
$427,542 Vol.
$427,542 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
No meeting by December 31
$82,913 Vol.
65%
China
$53,682 Vol.
31%
United States
$19,867 Vol.
2%
Russia
$64,252 Vol.
1%
Gulf country
$15,080 Vol.
1%
Other
$15,719 Vol.
1%
Turkey
$21,996 Vol.
1%
Switzerland
$18,299 Vol.
1%
Belarus
$17,627 Vol.
<1%
Other EU country
$13,658 Vol.
<1%
Finland
$16,301 Vol.
<1%
South Korea
$12,874 Vol.
<1%
Ukraine
$15,740 Vol.
<1%
Japan
$21,059 Vol.
<1%
Australia
$38,475 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled bilateral diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and recent escalations, has driven trader consensus toward no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 64.5%. Phone contacts in July 2026 produced no firm follow-up venue or timeline, while White House statements have ruled out immediate plans. China leads location probabilities at 30.5% due to its neutral multilateral forums and potential BRICS or bilateral channels. Other sites such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states remain low because of security concerns, sanctions, and the absence of scheduled summits within the resolution window. Recent developments, including intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russian targets and Putin's Pacific travels, have reinforced uncertainty over any 2026 encounter.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Volume
$427,542End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.Stalled bilateral diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and recent escalations, has driven trader consensus toward no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 64.5%. Phone contacts in July 2026 produced no firm follow-up venue or timeline, while White House statements have ruled out immediate plans. China leads location probabilities at 30.5% due to its neutral multilateral forums and potential BRICS or bilateral channels. Other sites such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states remain low because of security concerns, sanctions, and the absence of scheduled summits within the resolution window. Recent developments, including intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russian targets and Putin's Pacific travels, have reinforced uncertainty over any 2026 encounter.
This market will resolve according to the location of the next meeting between Donald Trump and Vladimir Putin between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$427,542End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stalled bilateral diplomacy after the 2025 Alaska summit, combined with the ongoing Russia-Ukraine conflict and recent escalations, has driven trader consensus toward no in-person Trump-Putin meeting by year-end at 64.5%. Phone contacts in July 2026 produced no firm follow-up venue or timeline, while White House statements have ruled out immediate plans. China leads location probabilities at 30.5% due to its neutral multilateral forums and potential BRICS or bilateral channels. Other sites such as Russia, the United States, or Gulf states remain low because of security concerns, sanctions, and the absence of scheduled summits within the resolution window. Recent developments, including intensified Ukrainian strikes on Russian targets and Putin's Pacific travels, have reinforced uncertainty over any 2026 encounter.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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