The Last House commands overwhelming market-implied odds near 96% as the top US Netflix title this week, reflecting dominant early streaming metrics, strong algorithmic promotion, and limited competition from holdovers or new arrivals. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained viewer engagement driven by its release timing and platform push, consistent with patterns where fresh originals quickly lock in weekly charts. Several other films sit at 50% or lower, underscoring the frontrunner's edge. An upset would require an unexpected surge in another title's viewership—perhaps through viral word-of-mouth, a surprise promotional tie-in, or delayed reporting adjustments—though historical Netflix chart data shows such reversals are rare once a leader establishes clear separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the top US Netflix movie this week?
The Last House 96.4%
Don't Say Good Luck 1.5%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners 1.4%
72 Hours 1.1%

The Last House
96%

Don't Say Good Luck
2%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

72 Hours
1%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
1%

Minions
1%
The Last House 96.4%
Don't Say Good Luck 1.5%
In the Land of Saints and Sinners 1.4%
72 Hours 1.1%

The Last House
96%

Don't Say Good Luck
2%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

72 Hours
1%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
1%

Minions
1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.
The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Last House commands overwhelming market-implied odds near 96% as the top US Netflix title this week, reflecting dominant early streaming metrics, strong algorithmic promotion, and limited competition from holdovers or new arrivals. Traders appear to be pricing in sustained viewer engagement driven by its release timing and platform push, consistent with patterns where fresh originals quickly lock in weekly charts. Several other films sit at 50% or lower, underscoring the frontrunner's edge. An upset would require an unexpected surge in another title's viewership—perhaps through viral word-of-mouth, a surprise promotional tie-in, or delayed reporting adjustments—though historical Netflix chart data shows such reversals are rare once a leader establishes clear separation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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