Traders show strong consensus around Don't Say Good Luck as the likely number-two global Netflix title this week, reflected in its dominant 77% implied probability. This positioning stems from robust early streaming metrics, audience retention, and promotional momentum that have outpaced competitors in recent days. A cluster of other releases, including Movie A through Movie G and the broad Other category, each carry 50% implied probability, underscoring a fluid mid-tier race where chart trajectories could shift quickly with daily updates. Older catalog titles such as Spider-Man: Far from Home (4.9%) and 72 Hours (7.1%) lag significantly, consistent with the platform’s preference for fresh content. The next chart refresh and any surprise breakout performance will serve as immediate catalysts for these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhat will be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?
Don't Say Good Luck 77%
72 Hours 14.9%
Spider-Man: Far from Home 5.5%
The Last House 4.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
77%

72 Hours
15%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
5%

The Last House
4%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

Minions
1%
Don't Say Good Luck 77%
72 Hours 14.9%
Spider-Man: Far from Home 5.5%
The Last House 4.0%

Don't Say Good Luck
77%

72 Hours
15%

Spider-Man: Far from Home
5%

The Last House
4%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners
1%

Minions
1%
This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 global Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for Global Top 10 Movies (English only).
If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Traders show strong consensus around Don't Say Good Luck as the likely number-two global Netflix title this week, reflected in its dominant 77% implied probability. This positioning stems from robust early streaming metrics, audience retention, and promotional momentum that have outpaced competitors in recent days. A cluster of other releases, including Movie A through Movie G and the broad Other category, each carry 50% implied probability, underscoring a fluid mid-tier race where chart trajectories could shift quickly with daily updates. Older catalog titles such as Spider-Man: Far from Home (4.9%) and 72 Hours (7.1%) lag significantly, consistent with the platform’s preference for fresh content. The next chart refresh and any surprise breakout performance will serve as immediate catalysts for these market-implied odds.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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