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What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 18

Aug 18

The Last House 96.4%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners 1.6%

Don't Say Good Luck 1.5%

72 Hours 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW

The Last House 96.4%

In the Land of Saints and Sinners 1.6%

Don't Say Good Luck 1.5%

72 Hours 1.2%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Last House

The Last House

$2,596 Vol.

96%

icon for In the Land of Saints and Sinners

In the Land of Saints and Sinners

$97 Vol.

2%

icon for Don't Say Good Luck

Don't Say Good Luck

$67 Vol.

2%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$167 Vol.

1%

icon for Spider-Man: Far from Home

Spider-Man: Far from Home

$132 Vol.

1%

icon for Minions

Minions

$107 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 96% as the top U.S. Netflix movie this week, propelled by its August 7 premiere as a high-profile original sci-fi thriller from director Louis Leterrier and stars Greta Lee and Wagner Moura. Fresh Netflix originals with strong marketing typically surge to the top of viewing charts in their debut week, and current rankings confirm it has locked in the No. 1 spot with millions of views, outpacing holdovers and catalog titles. Mixed early reviews have not slowed its momentum amid broad platform promotion. An upset would require a surprise new release or viral catalog title to overtake it before weekly metrics lock, though historical patterns favor the newest major original sustaining the lead through its opening frame.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,166
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The Last House holds overwhelming market-implied odds near 96% as the top U.S. Netflix movie this week, propelled by its August 7 premiere as a high-profile original sci-fi thriller from director Louis Leterrier and stars Greta Lee and Wagner Moura. Fresh Netflix originals with strong marketing typically surge to the top of viewing charts in their debut week, and current rankings confirm it has locked in the No. 1 spot with millions of views, outpacing holdovers and catalog titles. Mixed early reviews have not slowed its momentum amid broad platform promotion. An upset would require a surprise new release or viral catalog title to overtake it before weekly metrics lock, though historical patterns favor the newest major original sustaining the lead through its opening frame.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$3,166
End Date
Aug 18, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 12, 2026, 8:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 18, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix movie. If multiple movies tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the movie whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "Don't Say Good Luck" be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

84%
icon for Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

Will "The Last House" be the top global Netflix movie this week?

97%
icon for Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?

Will the #1 global Netflix movie have at least 18 million views this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Last House" at 96%, followed by "In the Land of Saints and Sinners" at 2%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 12, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" is "The Last House" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "In the Land of Saints and Sinners" at 2%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.